Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Sarkodie K.
27'
27'
Torres L.
27'
27'
Walls C.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship 2021 game between Real Monarchs and Austin Bold finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Monarchs.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Real Monarchs
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Real Monarchs come out ahead of Austin Bold on wins alone.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Real Monarchs taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship 2021 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Real Monarchs Clean Sheet 17%
Austin Bold Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Monarchs | Austin Bold |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 0 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 16, 2021 USL Championship
Real Monarchs vs Austin Bold
4:3
Jul 19, 2021 USL Championship
Austin Bold vs Real Monarchs
1:0
May 27, 2021 USL Championship
Austin Bold vs Real Monarchs
2:0
May 22, 2021 USL Championship
Real Monarchs vs Austin Bold
1:1
Sep 7, 2020 USL Championship
Austin Bold vs Real Monarchs
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Monarchs Compare
Top Goalscorer Torres L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Hidalgo B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Austin Bold Compare
Top Goalscorer Fuentes G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fernandez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Monarchs 48 / 100
Austin Bold 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Monarchs Austin Bold
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick REA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Real Monarchs scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.
Austin Bold let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Austin Bold lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Real Monarchs VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Monarchs
(Home) 26 Jul
Portland Timbers 2
1 : 0 Real Monarchs
20 Jul
Real Monarchs
2 : 4 Tacoma Defiance
12 Jul
Real Monarchs
2 : 1 Vancouver Whitecaps 2
06 Jul
Los Angeles FC 2
2 : 3 Real Monarchs
28 Jun
Ventura County
3 : 1 Real Monarchs
Page 1 of 7
20 Jul
Real Monarchs
2 : 4 Tacoma Defiance
12 Jul
Real Monarchs
2 : 1 Vancouver Whitecaps 2
13 Jun
Real Monarchs
4 : 1 Portland Timbers 2
30 May
Real Monarchs
1 : 3 Sporting Kansas City II
21 May
Real Monarchs
2 : 0 Colorado Rapids 2
Page 1 of 4
Austin Bold
(Away) 31 Oct
Austin Bold
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
24 Oct
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 Austin Bold
21 Oct
El Paso Locomotive
3 : 0 Austin Bold
16 Oct
Real Monarchs
4 : 3 Austin Bold
14 Oct
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1 Austin Bold
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 Austin Bold
21 Oct
El Paso Locomotive
3 : 0 Austin Bold
16 Oct
Real Monarchs
4 : 3 Austin Bold
14 Oct
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1 Austin Bold
26 Sept
Colorado Springs
3 : 1 Austin Bold
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phoenix Rising | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:35 | 67 |
| 2 | El Paso Locomotive | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 56:34 | 64 |
| 3 | Orange County SC | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 44:37 | 52 |
| 4 | San Antonio FC | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 50:38 | 52 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 60:50 | 49 |
| 6 | San Diego Loyal | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 51:43 | 48 |
| 7 | Rio Grande Valley FC Toros | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 49:42 | 47 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 44:40 | 46 |
| 9 | Austin Bold | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 32:42 | 42 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 36:43 | 41 |
| 11 | Ventura County | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 55:57 | 39 |
| 12 | Tacoma Defiance | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37:41 | 39 |
| 13 | Sacramento Republic | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 36:42 | 36 |
| 14 | Real Monarchs | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28:56 | 22 |
| 15 | Las Vegas Lights | 32 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 41:77 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 32 | 23 | 2 | 7 | 55:23 | 71 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 61:37 | 61 |
| 3 | Birmingham Legion | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 51:31 | 60 |
| 4 | Charlotte Independence | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 57:36 | 59 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 52:34 | 58 |
| 6 | Miami FC | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 55:40 | 54 |
| 7 | Memphis 901 | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 47:42 | 50 |
| 8 | FC Tulsa | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 49:48 | 47 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 50:50 | 41 |
| 10 | Charleston | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 49:60 | 37 |
| 11 | Oklahoma City Energy FC | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 12 | Indy Eleven | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | 35 |
| 13 | Atlanta United 2 | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 47:56 | 34 |
| 14 | New York Red Bulls II | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 42:67 | 28 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City II | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 33:64 | 20 |
| 16 | Loudoun United | 32 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 31:78 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 32 | 23 | 2 | 7 | 55:23 | 71 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 57:36 | 59 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 52:34 | 58 |
| 4 | Miami FC | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 55:40 | 54 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 50:50 | 41 |
| 6 | Charleston | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 49:60 | 37 |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls II | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 42:67 | 28 |
| 8 | Loudoun United | 32 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 31:78 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louisville City | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 61:37 | 61 |
| 2 | Birmingham Legion | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 51:31 | 60 |
| 3 | Memphis 901 | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 47:42 | 50 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 49:48 | 47 |
| 5 | Oklahoma City Energy FC | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | 35 |
| 7 | Atlanta United 2 | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 47:56 | 34 |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City II | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 33:64 | 20 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phoenix Rising | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:35 | 67 |
| 2 | Orange County SC | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 44:37 | 52 |
| 3 | San Diego Loyal | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 51:43 | 48 |
| 4 | Oakland Roots | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 36:43 | 41 |
| 5 | Ventura County | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 55:57 | 39 |
| 6 | Tacoma Defiance | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37:41 | 39 |
| 7 | Sacramento Republic | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 36:42 | 36 |
| 8 | Las Vegas Lights | 32 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 41:77 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 56:34 | 64 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 50:38 | 52 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 60:50 | 49 |
| 4 | Rio Grande Valley FC Toros | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 49:42 | 47 |
| 5 | New Mexico | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 44:40 | 46 |
| 6 | Austin Bold | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 32:42 | 42 |
| 7 | Real Monarchs | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28:56 | 22 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2021 (Play Offs)
