Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023

Real Monterotondo

2 - 2

Aprilia

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Di Vico F.

22'

Paoloni F.

35'

Tilli R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Real Monterotondo

20%

Draws

38%

Aprilia

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Monterotondo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Aprilia haven't matched Real Monterotondo's recent run of results.
42% — that's where the model lands on Real Monterotondo taking it.
Regular Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Aprilia have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 33%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Real Monterotondo Clean Sheet 18%

Aprilia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Real Monterotondo	Aprilia
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	8	7
Draws	7	10
Losses	17	13
Goals Scored	1.38	0
Goals Conceded	1.63	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2023 Serie D - Group G

Real Monterotondo vs Aprilia

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

2:2

Nov 27, 2022 Serie D - Group G

Aprilia vs Real Monterotondo

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Feb 20, 2022 Serie D - Group G

Aprilia vs Real Monterotondo

Possession: 45% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Oct 9, 2021 Serie D - Group G

Real Monterotondo vs Aprilia

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Monterotondo Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Vico F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Tilli R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Aprilia Compare

Top Goalscorer Paoloni F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Del Duca P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Monterotondo 41 / 100

Aprilia 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Real Monterotondo Aprilia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Monterotondo's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Aprilia let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Real Monterotondo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Monterotondo VS -

1.38 Goals Scored 0

1.63 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sorrento	34	21	7	6	53:28	70
2	Paganese	34	19	11	4	56:29	68
3	Casertana	34	17	7	10	57:40	58
4	Arzachena	34	17	6	11	51:40	57
5	Lupa Frascati	34	13	11	10	44:29	50
6	Palmese 1914	34	13	10	11	50:44	49
7	Cassino	34	13	8	13	42:45	47
8	Real Monterotondo	34	12	9	13	51:55	45
9	Sarrabus Ogliastra	34	12	7	15	51:54	43
10	Tivoli Calcio	34	10	11	13	36:39	41
11	Vis Artena	34	9	14	11	24:28	41
12	Portici 1906	34	9	13	12	45:49	40
13	Angri	34	10	9	15	39:51	39
14	Atletico Uri	34	10	9	15	45:62	39
15	Ilvamaddalena	34	8	14	12	30:39	38
16	Pomezia	34	8	11	15	40:58	35
17	SS Nola 1925	34	8	11	15	44:55	35
18	Aprilia	34	8	10	16	34:47	34