Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Monterotondo vs Latte Dolce

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Simonelli M.
45' Event
Tenkorang J.
60' Event
Grisley S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 game between Real Monterotondo and Latte Dolce finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Monterotondo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Real Monterotondo
20%
Draws
15%
Latte Dolce
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Monterotondo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Latte Dolce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Real Monterotondo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Real Monterotondo Clean Sheet 68%
Latte Dolce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Monterotondo Latte Dolce
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Real Monterotondo vs Latte Dolce
5:1
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Latte Dolce vs Real Monterotondo
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Real Monterotondo vs Latte Dolce
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Latte Dolce vs Real Monterotondo
0:1
Mar 26, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Latte Dolce vs Real Monterotondo
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Monterotondo Compare

Top Goalscorer Simonelli M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tenkorang J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Latte Dolce Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Paolo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.06

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Monterotondo 41 / 100
Latte Dolce 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Monterotondo Latte Dolce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Monterotondo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Monterotondo scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Latte Dolce conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Real Monterotondo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Monterotondo VS Latte Dolce
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Monterotondo

(Home)
10 May
Anzio Calcio 1924
2 : 1
Real Monterotondo
03 May
Real Monterotondo
0 : 5
Valmontone
26 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 2
Real Monterotondo
19 Apr
Real Monterotondo
2 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
12 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 1
Cassino
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Latte Dolce

(Away)
27 Sept
Aranova
1 : 1
Latte Dolce
20 Sept
Latte Dolce
1 : 2
Citta di Anagni
16 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 2
Latte Dolce
12 Sept
Latte Dolce
2 : 3
Paganese
05 Sept
Ossese
3 : 0
Latte Dolce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)