Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group G

Palmese 1914

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Monterotondo play Palmese 1914 in the Serie D - Group G. It looks like a close match. Recently, Real Monterotondo averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Palmese 1914 averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Real Monterotondo won 1, Palmese 1914 won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 15, 2026 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Real Monterotondo and 1.38 for Palmese 1914. This points to a Palmese 1914 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Real Monterotondo

32%

Draws

39%

Palmese 1914

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Palmese 1914

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Real Monterotondo picked up more points recently compared to Palmese 1914.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Real Monterotondo Clean Sheet 17%

Palmese 1914 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Real Monterotondo	Palmese 1914
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	11
Draws	6	9
Losses	16	10
Goals Scored	1.13	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.7	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group G

Real Monterotondo vs Palmese 1914

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 4 - 2

1:5

Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group G

Palmese 1914 vs Real Monterotondo

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group G

Palmese 1914 vs Real Monterotondo

Possession: 43% - 60% Cards: 2 - 4

2:2

Nov 5, 2022 Serie D - Group G

Real Monterotondo vs Palmese 1914

Possession: 55% - 44% Cards: 4 - 4

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Monterotondo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bellucci R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Palmese 1914 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fusco G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Puntoriere M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Monterotondo 30 / 100

Palmese 1914 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Real Monterotondo Palmese 1914

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Palmese 1914 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Real Monterotondo attacking → ← attacking Palmese 1914

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Monterotondo scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Palmese 1914 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Real Monterotondo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Palmese 1914 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 42

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scafatese	34	27	6	1	75:23	87
2	Trastevere Calcio	34	17	9	8	64:46	60
3	Monastir	34	15	8	11	51:44	53
4	Flaminia	34	13	12	9	53:37	51
5	Albalonga	34	14	8	12	55:55	50
6	Latte Dolce	34	14	6	14	49:49	48
7	Valmontone	34	14	6	14	49:50	48
8	Nocerina	34	11	14	9	36:33	47
9	Sarrabus Ogliastra	34	12	10	12	47:51	46
10	Budoni Calcio	34	12	9	13	33:32	45
11	Palmese 1914	34	11	12	11	41:43	45
12	Atl. Lodigiani	34	11	11	12	43:40	44
13	Ischia	34	12	7	15	36:52	43
14	Anzio Calcio 1924	34	10	11	13	38:43	41
15	Real Monterotondo	34	10	6	18	39:58	36
16	Olbia	34	8	14	12	39:50	36
17	Montespaccato	34	6	12	16	47:58	30
18	Cassino	34	4	9	21	24:55	21