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Stadium Background

Real Monterotondo vs Palmese 1914

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Fusco G.
16' Event
Puntoriere M.
38' Event
Allegra E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 game between Real Monterotondo and Palmese 1914 finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palmese 1914.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Real Monterotondo
15%
Draws
26%
Palmese 1914
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Monterotondo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Palmese 1914 come out ahead of Real Monterotondo on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Real Monterotondo Clean Sheet 68%
Palmese 1914 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Monterotondo Palmese 1914
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Real Monterotondo vs Palmese 1914
1:5
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Palmese 1914 vs Real Monterotondo
1:1
Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Palmese 1914 vs Real Monterotondo
2:2
Nov 5, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Real Monterotondo vs Palmese 1914
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Monterotondo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bellucci R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Palmese 1914 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fusco G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Puntoriere M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Monterotondo 41 / 100
Palmese 1914 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Monterotondo Palmese 1914

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Monterotondo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Real Monterotondo found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Palmese 1914 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Real Monterotondo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Monterotondo VS Palmese 1914
1.57 Goals Scored 0.63
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Monterotondo

(Home)
10 May
Anzio Calcio 1924
2 : 1
Real Monterotondo
03 May
Real Monterotondo
0 : 5
Valmontone
26 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 2
Real Monterotondo
19 Apr
Real Monterotondo
2 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
12 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 1
Cassino
Page 1 of 6

Palmese 1914

(Away)
20 Sept
Palmese 1914
3 : 4
Real Normanna
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Palmese 1914
13 Sept
Palmese 1914
0 : 0
Turris
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1
Palmese 1914
02 May
Palmese 1914
0 : 2
Monastir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)