Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Murcia B vs Molinense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Hernandez J.
90' Event
Rubio I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Real Murcia B and Molinense finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Molinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Real Murcia B
30%
Draws
47%
Molinense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Molinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Molinense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Molinense are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Real Murcia B Clean Sheet 19%
Molinense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Murcia B Molinense
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 14 15
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.52 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Molinense
0:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Real Murcia B
0:3
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Molinense
2:0
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Real Murcia B
3:0
Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Real Murcia B
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Murcia B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Molinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rubio I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Murcia B 20 / 100
Molinense 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Murcia B Molinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molinense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Murcia B's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Molinense let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Real Murcia B went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Murcia B VS Molinense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Murcia B

(Home)
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
05 Sept
Real Murcia B
1 : 2
Orihuela
22 Aug
Torrellano
1 : 0
Real Murcia B
20 Jun
Pamplona
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
14 Jun
Real Murcia B
2 : 1
Pamplona
Page 1 of 7

Molinense

(Away)
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2
San Javier
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4
Molinense
24 May
Molinense
0 : 2
Club Olimpico de Totana
17 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
0 : 0
Molinense
10 May
Real Murcia B
0 : 2
Molinense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)