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Real Murcia B vs Pinatar

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 game between Real Murcia B and Pinatar finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Murcia B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Real Murcia B
30%
Draws
52%
Pinatar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pinatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Murcia B come out ahead of Pinatar on wins alone.
  • Pinatar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Real Murcia B Clean Sheet 10%
Pinatar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Murcia B Pinatar
Matches Played 43 31
Wins 20 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.47 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Real Murcia B
2:0
Aug 27, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Pinatar
2:2
May 1, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Pinatar
2:1
Dec 13, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Real Murcia B
1:3
Mar 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Pinatar
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Murcia B 10 / 100
Pinatar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Murcia B Pinatar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinatar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Murcia B's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

Pinatar let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Real Murcia B went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Murcia B VS Pinatar
1 Goals Scored 4
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Murcia B

(Home)
27 Sept
Pena Deportiva
0 : 2
Real Murcia B
20 Sept
Real Murcia B
0 : 1
Mallorca B
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
05 Sept
Real Murcia B
1 : 2
Orihuela
22 Aug
Torrellano
1 : 0
Real Murcia B
Page 1 of 9

Pinatar

(Away)
26 Sept
Pinatar
8 : 0
Atletico Melilla
13 May
Pinatar
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
Pinatar
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 1
EDMF Churra
22 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
2 : 3
Pinatar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorca Deportiva 34 24 6 4 64:16 78
2 Aguilas FC 34 24 5 5 62:29 77
3 E.G. El Palmar 34 20 6 8 71:30 66
4 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 34 19 6 9 58:39 63
5 Yeclano 34 18 8 8 52:27 62
6 La Union CF 34 16 11 7 51:38 59
7 Huercal-Overa CF 34 14 8 12 42:41 50
8 Real Murcia B 34 15 4 15 45:39 49
9 Deportiva Minera 34 13 7 14 56:61 46
10 Muleno CF 34 13 6 15 40:48 45
11 Estudiantes de Murcia CF 34 12 5 17 50:42 41
12 EDMF Churra 34 12 5 17 37:45 41
13 Ciudad de Murcia 34 11 6 17 45:56 39
14 CA Pulpileno 34 8 11 15 33:43 35
15 Pinatar 34 8 7 19 41:59 31
16 Plus Ultra 34 7 10 17 35:55 31
17 EF Alhama 34 6 8 20 39:69 26
18 Caravaca 34 3 7 24 29:113 16
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)