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Real Normanna vs Heraclea

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Schenetti A.
77' Event
Schenetti A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 game between Real Normanna and Heraclea finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heraclea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Real Normanna
20%
Draws
29%
Heraclea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Normanna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Normanna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Real Normanna's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Real Normanna Clean Sheet 68%
Heraclea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Normanna Heraclea
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.1 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Real Normanna vs Heraclea
0:2
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Heraclea vs Real Normanna
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Normanna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Heraclea Compare

Top Goalscorer Schenetti A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Normanna 68 / 100
Heraclea 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Normanna Heraclea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Normanna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Normanna found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Heraclea conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Real Normanna stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Normanna VS Heraclea
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Normanna

(Home)
20 Sept
Palmese 1914
3 : 4
Real Normanna
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2
Martina Calcio
12 Sept
Ischia
2 : 2
Real Normanna
06 Sept
Real Normanna
2 : 0
Melfi
03 May
Gravina
3 : 2
Real Normanna
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Heraclea

(Away)
10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1
Heraclea
03 May
Heraclea
2 : 1
Ferrandina
26 Apr
Martina Calcio
2 : 1
Heraclea
19 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 3
Barletta
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)