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Real Noroeste vs Conilon

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2012
Real Noroeste Logo

Real Noroeste

2 - 1
FT
Conilon Logo

Conilon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Noroeste in this Campeonato Capixaba 2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Noroeste.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Real Noroeste
35%
Draws
0%
Conilon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Noroeste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Noroeste lately — more wins on the board than Conilon.
  • Model gives Real Noroeste a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Real Noroeste Clean Sheet 20%
Conilon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Noroeste Conilon
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.09 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2014 Capixaba
Conilon vs Real Noroeste
1:2
Jan 25, 2014 Capixaba
Real Noroeste vs Conilon
1:0
Mar 23, 2013 Capixaba
Conilon vs Real Noroeste
3:1
Feb 6, 2013 Capixaba
Real Noroeste vs Conilon
1:4
Apr 7, 2012 Capixaba
Real Noroeste vs Conilon
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Noroeste 85 / 100
Conilon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Noroeste Conilon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Noroeste Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conilon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Real Noroeste went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Conilon registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Noroeste VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Noroeste

(Home)
14 Jun
Real Noroeste
0 : 0
Democrata GV
30 May
Vitoria ES
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
23 May
Tombense
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
16 May
Real Noroeste
0 : 0
Rio Branco ES
09 May
Porto-BA
1 : 2
Real Noroeste
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Conilon

(Away)
10 May
Conilon
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
04 May
Castelo FC
3 : 0
Conilon
30 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Vitoria ES
26 Apr
Linhares Futebol Clube
3 : 0
Conilon
18 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Colatina SE
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 18 10 3 5 36:23 33
2 Aracruz 18 9 6 3 28:20 33
3 Vitoria ES 18 9 4 5 23:15 31
4 Conilon 18 8 6 4 40:23 30
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 9 3 6 27:19 30
6 SAO Mateus 18 8 2 8 17:23 26
7 Real Noroeste 18 6 4 8 21:23 22
8 Galatas 18 5 3 10 15:26 18
9 Colatina SE 18 3 8 7 21:27 17
10 Serra 18 3 1 14 20:49 10
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2012 (Play Offs)