Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026

Real Oviedo B

1 - 0

Atletico Astorga

Our Tip

Match Events

39'

Espinosa D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Real Oviedo B and Atletico Astorga finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Oviedo B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Real Oviedo B

33%

Draws

27%

Atletico Astorga

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Real Oviedo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Real Oviedo B carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Real Oviedo B a 40% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Real Oviedo B Clean Sheet 68%

Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Real Oviedo B	Atletico Astorga
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	11
Draws	7	9
Losses	10	10
Goals Scored	0.88	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

Real Oviedo B vs Atletico Astorga

Possession: 55% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Nov 22, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

Atletico Astorga vs Real Oviedo B

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Aug 27, 2022 Club Friendly

Atletico Astorga vs Real Oviedo B

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Oviedo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Espinosa D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Atletico Astorga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Oviedo B 50 / 100

Atletico Astorga 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Real Oviedo B Atletico Astorga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OVI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Oviedo B scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Atletico Astorga has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Real Oviedo B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Real Oviedo B VS Atletico Astorga

0.88 Goals Scored 1.25

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63

63% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportivo Fabril	34	20	9	5	59:22	69
2	Real Oviedo B	34	16	10	8	50:35	58
3	Numancia	34	15	11	8	46:31	56
4	UD Ourense	34	15	10	9	40:34	55
5	Coruxo FC	34	15	7	12	46:37	52
6	Gimnastica Segoviana	34	14	9	11	37:36	51
7	Real Avila	34	14	8	12	48:52	50
8	Salamanca CF UDS	34	14	8	12	43:36	50
9	Rayo Cantabria	34	11	15	8	63:50	48
10	Bergantinos	34	13	9	12	44:37	48
11	Atletico Astorga	34	12	9	13	41:43	45
12	Marino De Luanco	34	11	12	11	31:26	45
13	Valladolid Promesas	34	12	9	13	59:58	45
14	Langreo	34	11	10	13	35:41	43
15	Sarriana	34	11	7	16	42:42	40
16	Burgos CF B	34	8	12	14	38:55	36
17	Lealtad	34	7	7	20	31:54	28
18	UD Samano	34	3	6	25	23:87	15