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Real Oviedo B vs Tudelano

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo
Sat, May 16, 2026
2 - 1
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Alayeto I.
108' Event
de la Hera O.
112'
Bonilla Martinez F. C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Real Oviedo B advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Real Oviedo B
20%
Draws
47%
Tudelano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tudelano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Oviedo B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tudelano are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Real Oviedo B have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Oviedo B, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Real Oviedo B have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Real Oviedo B Clean Sheet 20%
Tudelano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Oviedo B Tudelano
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.57 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.49 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Oviedo B vs Tudelano
2:1
May 9, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Tudelano vs Real Oviedo B
0:1
Feb 24, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Oviedo B vs Tudelano
2:1
Oct 7, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Tudelano vs Real Oviedo B
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Oviedo B Compare

Top Goalscorer de la Hera O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.74

Tudelano Compare

Top Goalscorer Alayeto I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Oviedo B 24 / 100
Tudelano 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Oviedo B Tudelano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tudelano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Oviedo B scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Tudelano conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Real Oviedo B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Oviedo B VS Tudelano
2.13 Goals Scored 1.57
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Oviedo B

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Oviedo B
3 : 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
20 Sept
Alaves B
3 : 1
Real Oviedo B
13 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Real Oviedo B
05 Sept
Real Oviedo B
2 : 1
Eibar B
29 Aug
CD Mosconia
1 : 4
Real Oviedo B
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Tudelano

(Away)
27 Sept
Calamocha
0 : 3
Tudelano
20 Sept
Tudelano
2 : 1
CE Manresa
13 Sept
Girona B
3 : 1
Tudelano
06 Sept
Tudelano
0 : 0
UD Logrones B
07 Aug
Alfaro
0 : 4
Tudelano
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Alaves B 2
Jaen 3
Baleares 4
Coruxo FC 1
Deportiva Minera 0
CD Coria 1
Real Oviedo B 3
Tudelano 1
UD Logrones 4
Getafe B 1
San Sebastian Reyes 3
Alcoyano 1
UD Ourense 2
Reus FC Reddis 1
Conquense 1
Xerez CD 1
Aguilas FC 4
Utebo FC 2
UD Poblense 3
Numancia 1
Final
Jaen 4
Baleares 2
CD Coria 4
Real Oviedo B 0
UD Logrones 2
San Sebastian Reyes 1
UD Ourense 3
Conquense 0
Aguilas FC 2
UD Poblense 1