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Real Oviedo vs Eibar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Oviedo host Eibar in the LaLiga2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Eibar have shipped 0.8 goals a game lately, while Real Oviedo have conceded 1.27 and scored 1.03. Head-to-head, Real Oviedo have won 2 to Eibar's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2025, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.88 - 1.63) back Eibar to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Real Oviedo
15%
Draws
58%
Eibar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eibar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Eibar lately — more wins on the board than Real Oviedo.
  • Eibar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular LaLiga2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Real Oviedo Clean Sheet 14%
Eibar Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Oviedo Eibar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 20
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.03 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 LaLiga2
Eibar vs Real Oviedo
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 LaLiga2
Real Oviedo vs Eibar
1:0
Jun 12, 2024 LaLiga2
Eibar vs Real Oviedo
0:2
Jun 8, 2024 LaLiga2
Real Oviedo vs Eibar
0:0
Jun 2, 2024 LaLiga2
Eibar vs Real Oviedo
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Oviedo 10 / 100
Eibar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Oviedo Eibar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eibar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Oviedo found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Real Oviedo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Eibar has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Oviedo VS Eibar
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Oviedo

(Home)
02 Oct
Eldense
4 : 1
Real Oviedo
27 Sept
Real Oviedo
2 : 0
Gijon
20 Sept
Sabadell
3 : 1
Real Oviedo
13 Sept
Valladolid
0 : 3
Real Oviedo
06 Sept
Real Oviedo
0 : 0
Burgos CF
Page 1 of 6

Eibar

(Away)
03 Oct
Albacete
1 : 3
Eibar
27 Sept
Eibar
3 : 2
Las Palmas
19 Sept
Eldense
1 : 2
Eibar
14 Sept
Celta Vigo B
0 : 4
Eibar
06 Sept
Eibar
3 : 0
Granada CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eibar 8 7 0 1 18:7 21
2 Castellon 7 6 1 0 14:2 19
3 Almeria 8 6 0 2 13:5 18
4 Burgos CF 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
5 Girona 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
6 Mallorca 7 4 1 2 8:3 13
7 Sabadell 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
8 Real Oviedo 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
9 Tenerife 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
10 Leganes 8 3 2 3 6:11 11
11 Las Palmas 7 3 1 3 10:11 10
12 Gijon 7 3 1 3 5:6 10
13 Granada CF 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
14 Real Sociedad B 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
15 Eldense 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
16 Celta Vigo B 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
17 Valladolid 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
18 Cadiz 8 1 4 3 11:10 7
19 FC Andorra 7 2 0 5 12:15 6
20 Cordoba 7 2 0 5 10:16 6
21 AD Ceuta 7 1 1 5 6:17 4
22 Albacete 8 0 1 7 5:15 1
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