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Real Pharma Odesa vs Nyva Ternopil

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup 2025/2026
Real Pharma Odesa Logo

Real Pharma Odesa

0 - 3
FT
Nyva Ternopil Logo

Nyva Ternopil

Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Davydov S.
79' Event
Mysyk M.
82' Event
Bey A.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Nyva Ternopil advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Real Pharma Odesa
20%
Draws
40%
Nyva Ternopil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Nyva Ternopil carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nyva Ternopil are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Nyva Ternopil arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nyva Ternopil, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Real Pharma Odesa Clean Sheet 14%
Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Pharma Odesa Nyva Ternopil
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 6
Draws 3 10
Losses 26 15
Goals Scored 0.57 0.81
Goals Conceded 3.27 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Real Pharma Odesa vs Nyva Ternopil
0:3
Jul 25, 2012 Ukrainian Cup
Real Pharma Odesa vs Nyva Ternopil
0:1
Apr 7, 2012 Druha Liga
Real Pharma Odesa vs Nyva Ternopil
4:2
Aug 13, 2011 Druha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs Real Pharma Odesa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Pharma Odesa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nyva Ternopil Compare

Top Goalscorer Davydov S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mysyk M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Pharma Odesa 19 / 100
Nyva Ternopil 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Pharma Odesa Nyva Ternopil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nyva Ternopil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nyva Ternopil has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Nyva Ternopil registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Real Pharma Odesa's goal record stands at 38% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Real Pharma Odesa VS Nyva Ternopil
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Pharma Odesa

(Home)
22 May
Real Pharma Odesa
0 : 3
Kulikiv
10 May
Bukovyna 2
2 : 1
Real Pharma Odesa
01 May
FC Uzhhorod
2 : 2
Real Pharma Odesa
25 Apr
Real Pharma Odesa
:
Lisne
25 Apr
Real Pharma Odesa
1 : 5
FC Vilkhivtsi
Page 1 of 6

Nyva Ternopil

(Away)
13 Sept
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 2
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
30 Aug
Metalist Kharkiv
1 : 1
Nyva Ternopil
22 Aug
Nyva Ternopil
0 : 4
Bukovyna
16 Aug
Inhulets
1 : 2
Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 3
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 2
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
Kolos Polonne 1
Naftovyk Dolyna 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 3
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Korosten 0
Veres Rivne 4
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
UCSA 0
Hirnyk-Sport 1
Trostyanets 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Atlet Kiev 0
Kulikiv 0
Kryvbas 3
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 0
Lisne 4
Epitsentr 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 2
Zorya 1
Fazenda 0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
FC Uzhhorod 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 2
Mayak Sarny 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Probiy Horodenka 0
Kormil Yavoriv 1
Rukh Lviv 2
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 0
Bukovyna 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Karpaty Lviv 8
Real Pharma Odesa 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
Iron 1
SC Poltava 5
Oleksandriya -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv -
Polissya Stavky 3
Rebel Kyiv 0
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Livyi Bereg 1
Kudrivka 0
Victoria 1
Vorskla Poltava 0
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Inhulets 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Skala 1911 0
1/16-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2
Kolos Polonne 1
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Veres Rivne 0
Nyva Vinnytsya 7
Hirnyk-Sport 0
FC Chernihiv 3
Kryvbas 0
Olympia Savyntsi 1
Lisne 2
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 0
LNZ Cherkasy 2
Rukh Lviv 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 0
Bukovyna 1
Karpaty Lviv 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
SC Poltava 0
Oleksandriya 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Polissya Stavky 0
Shakhtar 1
Livyi Bereg 0
Victoria 1
Inhulets 4
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
1/8-finals
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
FC Chernihiv 2
Lisne 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Rukh Lviv 0
Bukovyna 2
Nyva Ternopil 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Shakhtar 1
Victoria 0
Inhulets 1
Quarter-finals
FC Kharkiv 3
Lokomotyv Kyiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Fenix Mariupol 0
LNZ Cherkasy 0
Bukovyna 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Inhulets 0
Semi-finals
FC Kharkiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Bukovyna 0
Dynamo Kyiv 3
Final
FC Chernihiv 1
Dynamo Kyiv 3