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Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Pilar play UAI Urquiza in the Primera B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Real Pilar averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. UAI Urquiza averaged 0.57 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Real Pilar won 2, UAI Urquiza won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Real Pilar and 0.75 for UAI Urquiza. This points to a Real Pilar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Real Pilar
35%
Draws
22%
UAI Urquiza
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Pilar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Real Pilar picked up more points recently compared to UAI Urquiza.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Real Pilar Clean Sheet 27%
UAI Urquiza Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Pilar UAI Urquiza
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 4
Draws 9 14
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.07 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Primera B
Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza
2:1
Sep 8, 2025 Primera B
UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar
0:1
Apr 20, 2025 Primera B
Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Pilar Compare

Top Goalscorer Mancini V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Crocco M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

UAI Urquiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Asprea T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Pilar 44 / 100
UAI Urquiza 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Pilar UAI Urquiza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Real Pilar or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Real Pilar attacking → ← attacking UAI Urquiza

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Pilar scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

UAI Urquiza let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Real Pilar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

UAI Urquiza lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 26
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Excursionistas23136434:1545
2Talleres Remedios Escalada23136426:1045
3Arsenal Sarandi23128333:1744
4Villa Dalmine23127428:1343
5Deportivo Camioneros23118427:1541
6Sportivo Italiano2398623:2035
7Real Pilar2397725:2434
8Deportivo Armenio2395925:2732
9San Martin Burzaco23710623:2031
10Comunicaciones2387826:2531
11Argentino de Merlo2387821:2131
12Laferrere2387825:2931
13Dep. Merlo2387827:3531
14Dock Sud2369824:2227
15Argentino de Quilmes2369824:2527
16CSD Liniers2368916:2326
17Defensores Unidos2359919:2424
18Brown Adrogue23581016:2723
19UAI Urquiza23313712:2022
20Flandria23641318:3022
21Villa San Carlos23491024:3021
22Ituzaingo23161617:419