Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Mancini V.
40'
Rios N.
42'
Mancini V.

AI Match Summary

Real Pilar in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Pilar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Real Pilar
15%
Draws
37%
UAI Urquiza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Pilar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Pilar lately — more wins on the board than UAI Urquiza.
  • Model gives Real Pilar a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Real Pilar have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Real Pilar Clean Sheet 20%
UAI Urquiza Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Pilar UAI Urquiza
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 4
Draws 10 14
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0.93 0.52
Goals Conceded 0.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Primera B
Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza
2:1
Sep 8, 2025 Primera B
UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar
0:1
Apr 20, 2025 Primera B
Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Pilar Compare

Top Goalscorer Mancini V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Crocco M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

UAI Urquiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Asprea T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Pilar 36 / 100
UAI Urquiza 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Pilar UAI Urquiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Pilar's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Real Pilar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: UAI Urquiza conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Real Pilar VS UAI Urquiza
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Pilar

(Home)
03 Oct
Real Pilar
2 : 0
Villa Dalmine
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0
Real Pilar
19 Sept
Real Pilar
2 : 1
Arsenal Sarandi
11 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1
Real Pilar
05 Sept
Real Pilar
0 : 2
Talleres Remedios Escalada
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UAI Urquiza

(Away)
05 Oct
UAI Urquiza
3 : 2
Ituzaingo
27 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 0
UAI Urquiza
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2
Excursionistas
12 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0
UAI Urquiza
06 Sept
UAI Urquiza
2 : 0
Argentino de Merlo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 38 22 8 8 59:30 74
2 Arsenal Sarandi 38 19 12 7 50:25 69
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 38 19 10 9 40:23 67
4 Sportivo Italiano 38 18 11 9 45:28 65
5 Villa Dalmine 38 17 13 8 38:23 64
6 Deportivo Camioneros 38 17 12 9 43:29 63
7 Real Pilar 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
8 Deportivo Armenio 38 17 9 12 42:38 60
9 Comunicaciones 38 14 13 11 39:34 55
10 Laferrere 38 13 12 13 46:50 51
11 San Martin Burzaco 38 12 14 12 39:41 50
12 Dock Sud 38 11 14 13 40:42 47
13 Villa San Carlos 38 11 14 13 37:39 47
14 Argentino de Merlo 38 11 11 16 33:39 44
15 Dep. Merlo 38 10 14 14 36:51 44
16 Argentino de Quilmes 38 9 16 13 30:37 43
17 CSD Liniers 38 10 13 15 31:39 43
18 Defensores Unidos 38 9 14 15 33:39 41
19 Brown Adrogue 38 8 15 15 24:37 39
20 Flandria 38 10 9 19 34:48 39
21 UAI Urquiza 38 5 20 13 21:35 35
22 Ituzaingo 38 1 12 25 25:62 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)