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Real Podunavci vs FK Zlatibor Cajetina

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Podunavci play FK Zlatibor Cajetina in the Srpska Liga - West. It looks like a close match. Recently, Real Podunavci averaged 1.23 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. FK Zlatibor Cajetina averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Real Podunavci won 1, FK Zlatibor Cajetina won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Real Podunavci and 0.81 for FK Zlatibor Cajetina. This points to a Real Podunavci double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Real Podunavci
33%
Draws
30%
FK Zlatibor Cajetina
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Real Podunavci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Podunavci picked up more points recently compared to FK Zlatibor Cajetina.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Real Podunavci Clean Sheet 26%
FK Zlatibor Cajetina Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Podunavci FK Zlatibor Cajetina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.23 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Srpska Liga - West
Real Podunavci vs FK Zlatibor Cajetina
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Srpska Liga - West
FK Zlatibor Cajetina vs Real Podunavci
2:0
Jun 8, 2025 Srpska Liga - West
Real Podunavci vs FK Zlatibor Cajetina
16:0
Nov 18, 2024 Srpska Liga - West
FK Zlatibor Cajetina vs Real Podunavci
0:0
Apr 14, 2024 Srpska Liga - West
FK Zlatibor Cajetina vs Real Podunavci
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Podunavci 39 / 100
FK Zlatibor Cajetina 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Podunavci FK Zlatibor Cajetina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Real Podunavci or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Real Podunavci attacking → ← attacking FK Zlatibor Cajetina

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Podunavci scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

FK Zlatibor Cajetina let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Real Podunavci went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FK Zlatibor Cajetina lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 41
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Metalac30208252:1768
2Real Podunavci301310737:2949
3Radnicki Valjevo301351243:3844
4Zeleznicar Lajkovac301110942:3043
5Omladinac Zablace301012836:3042
6FK Zlatibor Cajetina301181129:3341
7Sloboda30914733:2441
8Buducnost Krusik3010101034:3340
9Jedinstvo Putevi301161335:3939
10FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac30912929:2839
11OFK Napredak30814836:3338
12Takovo309101123:2937
13Sloga Pozega30991229:3336
14Mladi Radnik Radinac30971431:5234
15Josanica306101430:4528
16Polimlje30591624:5024