Sport Picks
Real Potosi vs Aurora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bolivia
Copa Pacena Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte, Potosí 
Match Events
20'
20'
Villegas K.
Own Goal
37'
37'
Vaca H.
45'
45'
Condori B.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aurora
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Aurora at 1.59 per game, Real Potosi at 1.46.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Real Potosi taking it.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Real Potosi Clean Sheet 16%
Aurora Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Potosi | Aurora |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 12 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Copa Pacena
Real Potosi vs Aurora
1:1
Sep 8, 2026 Copa Pacena
Aurora vs Real Potosi
1:0
Aug 22, 2026 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Real Potosi
0:0
Apr 4, 2026 Division Profesional
Real Potosi vs Aurora
0:0
Aug 23, 2021 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Real Potosi
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Potosi Compare
Top Goalscorer Condori B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Aurora Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Potosi 36 / 100
Aurora 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Potosi Aurora
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Potosi's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Aurora let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Real Potosi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Real Potosi VS Aurora
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Potosi
(Home) 06 Oct
Real Potosi
4 : 2 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
03 Oct
Real Potosi
1 : 1 Aurora
29 Sept
Real Potosi
3 : 1 Academia del Balompie
25 Sept
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
3 : 0 Real Potosi
22 Sept
Nacional Potosi
0 : 1 Real Potosi
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Real Potosi
4 : 2 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
03 Oct
Real Potosi
1 : 1 Aurora
29 Sept
Real Potosi
3 : 1 Academia del Balompie
20 Sept
Real Potosi
2 : 2 Nacional Potosi
12 Sept
Real Potosi
2 : 1 Oriente Petrolero
Page 1 of 3
Aurora
(Away) 07 Oct
Aurora
2 : 0 Academia del Balompie
03 Oct
Real Potosi
1 : 1 Aurora
30 Sept
Aurora
2 : 2 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1 Aurora
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2 Club Universitario de Vinto
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Real Potosi
1 : 1 Aurora
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1 Aurora
16 Sept
Guabira
3 : 1 Aurora
11 Sept
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 2 Aurora
01 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
1 : 1 Aurora
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurora | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:6 | 18 |
| 2 | Real Potosi | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:12 | 14 |
| 3 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:12 | 10 |
| 4 | Academia del Balompie | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:13 | 6 |
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional Potosi | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 24:7 | 17 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:22 | 10 |
| 3 | Tomayapo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:20 | 10 |
| 4 | Real Oruro | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | 7 |
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Strongest | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:13 | 14 |
| 2 | Oriente Petrolero | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:9 | 13 |
| 3 | Guabira | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 4 | Club Universitario de Vinto | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13:17 | 7 |
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 2 | Independiente | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 3 | GV San Jose | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11:17 | 6 |
| 4 | Blooming | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11:20 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
