Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Salt Lake vs Austin FC

USA USA

MLS America First Field
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Gallagher J.
18' Event
Bell J.
Assist: Torres F.
24' Event
Svatok O.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Real Salt Lake and Austin FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Salt Lake.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Real Salt Lake
11%
Draws
9%
Austin FC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Real Salt Lake

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Salt Lake come out ahead of Austin FC on wins alone.
  • Real Salt Lake are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Real Salt Lake Clean Sheet 20%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Salt Lake Austin FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs Austin FC
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs Austin FC
3:1
May 29, 2025 MLS
Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 MLS
Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake
2:2
Jun 2, 2024 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs Austin FC
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Salt Lake Compare

Top Goalscorer Spierings S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Austin FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bell J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Salt Lake 76 / 100
Austin FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Salt Lake Austin FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Salt Lake's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Austin FC conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Real Salt Lake stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Salt Lake VS Austin FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1473418:1624
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10St. Louis City1554619:2219
11Portland Timbers1552827:2917
12San Diego FC1545630:2717
13Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City15321016:3911
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1543822:3115
12Toronto FC1536622:2915
13Orlando City1542923:4414
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307