Sport Picks

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Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas

World World

Atlantic Cup Estadio da Nora, Albufeira
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Musa P.
90' Event
Julio Santos A. A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with FC Dallas advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Real Salt Lake
30%
Draws
34%
FC Dallas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Salt Lake

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Real Salt Lake and FC Dallas close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Real Salt Lake are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Dallas, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Real Salt Lake Clean Sheet 14%
FC Dallas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Salt Lake FC Dallas
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 MLS
FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake
3:1
Jan 30, 2026 Atlantic Cup
Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas
0:2
May 11, 2025 MLS
FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas
0:1
Sep 19, 2024 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Salt Lake Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

FC Dallas Compare

Top Goalscorer Musa P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Julio Santos A. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Salt Lake 35 / 100
FC Dallas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Salt Lake FC Dallas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Salt Lake's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

FC Dallas has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Real Salt Lake stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Salt Lake VS FC Dallas
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Salt Lake

(Home)
26 Jul
Portland Timbers
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
23 Jul
Los Angeles FC
3 : 1
Real Salt Lake
16 Jul
Real Salt Lake
4 : 1
Burnley
23 May
Minnesota United
1 : 1
Real Salt Lake
17 May
Real Salt Lake
2 : 1
Colorado Rapids
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FC Dallas

(Away)
26 Jul
San Diego FC
1 : 0
FC Dallas
23 Jul
Portland Timbers
2 : 2
FC Dallas
24 May
Colorado Rapids
1 : 2
FC Dallas
17 May
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 3
FC Dallas
14 May
FC Dallas
2 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
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