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Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS America First Field, Sandy, UT
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
White B.
Assist: Larraz O.
29' Event
Muller T.
Assist: Diaby Y.
46'
Sub
Priso R. In: Laborda M.
Out: Priso R.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Real Salt Lake and Vancouver Whitecaps finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vancouver Whitecaps.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Real Salt Lake
15%
Draws
49%
Vancouver Whitecaps
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vancouver Whitecaps

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Vancouver Whitecaps carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vancouver Whitecaps have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Real Salt Lake Clean Sheet 10%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Salt Lake Vancouver Whitecaps
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.61 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps
0:3
Feb 22, 2026 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Real Salt Lake
1:0
May 25, 2025 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps
2:3
May 4, 2025 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Real Salt Lake
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Salt Lake Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Vancouver Whitecaps Compare

Top Goalscorer White B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muller T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Salt Lake 14 / 100
Vancouver Whitecaps 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Salt Lake Vancouver Whitecaps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vancouver Whitecaps Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Salt Lake scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Vancouver Whitecaps has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Vancouver Whitecaps registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Salt Lake VS Vancouver Whitecaps
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Salt Lake

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0
Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 2
New York City
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
Page 1 of 6

Vancouver Whitecaps

(Away)
07 Oct
Chicago Fire
3 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
27 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 3
DC United
20 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2
Austin FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)