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Real San Joaquin vs Independiente Cauquenes

Chile Chile

Segunda Division 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real San Joaquin play Independiente Cauquenes in the Segunda Division 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Real San Joaquin averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Independiente Cauquenes averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Real San Joaquin won 2, Independiente Cauquenes won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 14, 2022 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Real San Joaquin and 1.44 for Independiente Cauquenes. This points to a Real San Joaquin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Real San Joaquin
17%
Draws
30%
Independiente Cauquenes
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Real San Joaquin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Real San Joaquin picked up more points recently compared to Independiente Cauquenes.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Real San Joaquin Clean Sheet 16%
Independiente Cauquenes Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real San Joaquin Independiente Cauquenes
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 1.1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2022 Segunda Division
Independiente Cauquenes vs Real San Joaquin
1:2
May 8, 2022 Segunda Division
Real San Joaquin vs Independiente Cauquenes
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real San Joaquin Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quiero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Independiente Cauquenes Compare

Top Goalscorer Vallejos D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real San Joaquin 51 / 100
Independiente Cauquenes 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real San Joaquin Independiente Cauquenes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real San Joaquin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Real San Joaquin & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Real San Joaquin attacking → ← attacking Independiente Cauquenes

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real San Joaquin scored in 66% of their last 41 games.

Independiente Cauquenes let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Real San Joaquin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Independiente Cauquenes lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 28
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1San Marcos de Arica22134534:1543
2General Velasquez22106625:2036
3Valdivia22112929:2535
4Lautaro221021029:3432
5Real San Joaquin22931028:3730
6San Antonio Unido2278722:1929
7Trasandino2278727:2529
8Iberia22610618:1828
9Limache2278726:2828
10D. Concepcion22751020:2526
11Rodelindo2259827:2524
12Independiente Cauquenes22631320:3421