Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real San Joaquin vs S. Morning - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Segunda Division Estadio Municipal de San Joaquín, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Nunez S.
16' Event
Rubio E.
27' Event
Carrasco R.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Real San Joaquin and S. Morning finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Real San Joaquin
35%
Draws
51%
S. Morning
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: S. Morning

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Real San Joaquin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans S. Morning's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Real San Joaquin Clean Sheet 14%
S. Morning Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real San Joaquin S. Morning
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 8 12
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.21 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Segunda Division
Real San Joaquin vs S. Morning
2:2
Jun 15, 2024 Copa Chile
Real San Joaquin vs S. Morning
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real San Joaquin Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrasco R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maureira D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

S. Morning Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubio E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real San Joaquin 19 / 100
S. Morning 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real San Joaquin S. Morning

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick S. Morning Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real San Joaquin's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: S. Morning conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Real San Joaquin went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real San Joaquin VS S. Morning
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real San Joaquin

(Home)
03 Oct
Real San Joaquin
0 : 2
Lota Schwager
27 Sept
Atletico Colina
1 : 0
Real San Joaquin
06 Sept
General Velasquez
1 : 1
Real San Joaquin
31 Aug
Real San Joaquin
2 : 5
Deportes Rengo
22 Aug
Provincial Ovalle
1 : 1
Real San Joaquin
Page 1 of 6

S. Morning

(Away)
12 Sept
S. Morning
0 : 0
General Velasquez
06 Sept
Deportes Rengo
2 : 2
S. Morning
30 Aug
S. Morning
0 : 0
Provincial Ovalle
22 Aug
Lota Schwager
1 : 1
S. Morning
17 Aug
S. Morning
2 : 1
Atletico Colina
Page 1 of 6