Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Santander vs Dep. Cali

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Villa Concha, Piedecuesta
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gomez J.
77' Event
Rueda Duarte J. D.
(Penalty)
87' Event
Martinez S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Real Santander
35%
Draws
44%
Dep. Cali
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dep. Cali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dep. Cali come out ahead of Real Santander on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dep. Cali a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Dep. Cali arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dep. Cali, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Dep. Cali have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Real Santander Clean Sheet 24%
Dep. Cali Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Santander Dep. Cali
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 15
Draws 10 8
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 0.76 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.76 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Copa Colombia
Real Santander vs Dep. Cali
1:2
Aug 14, 2019 Copa Colombia
Real Santander vs Dep. Cali
0:1
Aug 1, 2019 Copa Colombia
Dep. Cali vs Real Santander
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Santander Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Dep. Cali Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Santander 21 / 100
Dep. Cali 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Santander Dep. Cali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Cali Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Real Santander has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Real Santander found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Dep. Cali's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Santander VS Dep. Cali
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Santander

(Home)
26 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 1
Real Santander
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0
Orsomarso
13 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 0
Real Santander
05 Sept
Quindio
0 : 0
Real Santander
29 Aug
Real Santander
3 : 1
Inter Palmira
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Cali

(Away)
28 Sept
Dep. Cali
2 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1
Dep. Cali
19 Sept
Dep. Cali
3 : 0
Cucuta
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2
Dep. Cali
11 Sept
Millonarios
1 : 1
Dep. Cali
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cali 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 Alianza 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Boca Juniors de Cali 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
4 Bucaramanga 4 1 0 3 8:7 3
5 Real Santander 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Millonarios 4 3 1 0 14:5 10
2 Llaneros 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Chico 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
4 Patriotas 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
5 Atletico F.C. 4 0 1 3 2:16 1
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Medellin 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
3 Leones 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
4 Cucuta 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
5 Orsomarso 4 0 3 1 3:5 3
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Pereira 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
2 Real Cundinamarca 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Aguilas Doradas 4 1 3 0 7:4 6
4 Jaguares de Cordoba 4 1 1 2 4:3 4
5 Independiente Valle del Cauca 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)