Sport Picks

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Real Santander W vs Deportes Tolima W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Arguello M.
45' Event
Valbuena P.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Otalvarez M. In: Gomez A.
Out: Otalvarez M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women 2023 game between Real Santander W and Deportes Tolima W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Santander W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Real Santander W
6%
Draws
4%
Deportes Tolima W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Real Santander W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Santander W haven't matched Deportes Tolima W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Real Santander W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Women 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Real Santander W Clean Sheet 68%
Deportes Tolima W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Santander W Deportes Tolima W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 3 4
Draws 14 7
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2023 Liga Women
Real Santander W vs Deportes Tolima W
2:1
May 1, 2022 Liga Women
Deportes Tolima W vs Real Santander W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Santander W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordoba M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Deportes Tolima W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Santander W 95 / 100
Deportes Tolima W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Santander W Deportes Tolima W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Deportes Tolima W conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Deportes Tolima W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Real Santander W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Santander W VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America de Cali W16131243:840
2Indep. Santa Fe W16105133:1235
3Atl. Nacional W1686228:930
4Deportivo Pereira W1685328:2029
5Dep. Cali W1676324:1827
6Ind. Medellin W1683525:2027
7Inter Palmira W1674520:1325
8Inter Bogotá W1672728:2023
9Llaneros W1671821:2322
10Millonarios W1664623:2122
11Junior W1656517:1221
12Chico W1648413:1520
13Huila W1655615:2120
14Real Santander W1634913:2913
15Dep. Pasto W16331011:3412
16Bucaramanga W1613129:416
17Deportes Tolima W16021411:462