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Real SC vs Gramadense

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Bazzan G.
36' Event
Kerlly

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Gramadense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Real SC
35%
Draws
19%
Gramadense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gramadense come out ahead of Real SC on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Real SC taking it.
  • Gramadense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gramadense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Real SC Clean Sheet 68%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real SC Gramadense
Matches Played 26 35
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 15
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.73 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2025 Gaucho 2
Real SC vs Gramadense
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 Gaucho 3
Real SC vs Gramadense
0:2
Dec 1, 2024 Gaucho 3
Gramadense vs Real SC
1:2
Oct 13, 2024 Gaucho 3
Gramadense vs Real SC
1:0
Oct 9, 2024 Gaucho 3
Real SC vs Gramadense
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Gramadense Compare

Top Goalscorer Bazzan G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kerlly
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real SC 50 / 100
Gramadense 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real SC Gramadense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gramadense has conceded goals in 60% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Real SC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Gramadense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real SC VS Gramadense
1.33 Goals Scored 0.88
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real SC

(Home)
12 Sept
Real SC
3 : 0
Riograndense
05 Sept
Futvida
1 : 1
Real SC
27 Jul
Lajeadense
0 : 0
Real SC
23 Jul
Real SC
0 : 3
Novo Hamburgo
19 Jul
Real SC
1 : 3
Passo Fundo
Page 1 of 6

Gramadense

(Away)
16 Sept
Gramadense
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
12 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
3 : 1
Gramadense
09 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 0
Gramadense
05 Sept
Gramadense
2 : 2
EC Guarani
01 Sept
Aimore
2 : 0
Gramadense
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Gramadense 3
SC Sao Paulo 2
Riograndense 0
Real SC 2
Final
Gramadense 3
Real SC 2