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Real SC vs SC Sao Paulo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real SC host SC Sao Paulo in the Gaucho 3. Little to choose between these two on current form. SC Sao Paulo have shipped 1.42 goals a game lately, while Real SC have conceded 1.19 and scored 0.88. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 0.76, favoring SC Sao Paulo. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Real SC
20%
Draws
36%
SC Sao Paulo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Real SC haven't matched SC Sao Paulo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Real SC's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Gaucho 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Real SC Clean Sheet 20%
SC Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real SC SC Sao Paulo
Matches Played 26 24
Wins 7 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real SC 76 / 100
SC Sao Paulo 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real SC SC Sao Paulo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real SC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

SC Sao Paulo let in goals in 71% of their last 24 matches.

Real SC scored in 54% of their last 26 games.

SC Sao Paulo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real SC VS SC Sao Paulo
1.57 Goals Scored 1.38
0.14 Goals Conceded 0.5
57% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real SC

(Home)
30 Sept
Real SC
4 : 0
Farroupilha
20 Sept
Cruz Alta
0 : 3
Real SC
12 Sept
Real SC
3 : 0
Riograndense
05 Sept
Futvida
1 : 1
Real SC
27 Jul
Lajeadense
0 : 0
Real SC
Page 1 of 6

SC Sao Paulo

(Away)
30 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
3 : 1
Riograndense
27 Sept
Panambi
1 : 0
SC Sao Paulo
20 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Farroupilha
13 Sept
SC Rio Grande
0 : 2
SC Sao Paulo
06 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
1 : 2
Cruz Alta
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panambi 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
2 Real SC 4 3 1 0 11:1 10
3 Cruz Alta 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
4 Futvida 6 2 4 0 6:3 10
5 SC Sao Paulo 5 3 0 2 8:5 9
6 Riograndense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
7 Farroupilha 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
8 Clube 1992 5 1 0 4 6:8 3
9 EC Novo Horizonte 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
10 SC Rio Grande 5 0 0 5 2:14 0
Promotion - Gaucho 3 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Gaucho 3 (Play Offs)