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Real SC vs Serpa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Estádio do Real SC, Queluz
Our Tip

Match Events

76'
Cande A.
81' Event
Bras de Ceita S.
84' Event
Aquino

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Real SC
35%
Draws
23%
Serpa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Serpa have won more games recently than Real SC.
  • Model gives Real SC a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Real SC Clean Sheet 15%
Serpa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real SC Serpa
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Real SC vs Serpa
1:1
Feb 11, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Real SC vs Serpa
0:1
Oct 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Serpa vs Real SC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bras de Ceita S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Serpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Aquino
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real SC 66 / 100
Serpa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real SC Serpa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real SC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Real SC scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Serpa let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Real SC VS Serpa
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real SC

(Home)
31 Oct
Real SC
1 : 0
1º Dezembro
24 Oct
Real SC
4 : 1
Juv. Evora
11 Oct
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 1
Real SC
04 Oct
Santa Clara B
1 : 1
Real SC
26 Sept
Real SC
1 : 1
Serpa
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Serpa

(Away)
01 Nov
Serpa
2 : 2
Portel
25 Oct
GD Alcochetense
3 : 1
Serpa
11 Oct
Serpa
2 : 0
Sintrense
26 Sept
Real SC
1 : 1
Serpa
20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2
Louletano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sintrense 7 5 1 1 15:6 16
2 Real SC 7 3 4 0 14:9 13
3 Juv. Evora 7 3 2 2 12:11 11
4 GD Alcochetense 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
5 Imortal 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
6 Serpa 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
7 Lajense 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
8 Santa Clara B 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
9 Amora 7 2 2 3 8:8 8
10 Vitoria Setubal 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
11 1º Dezembro 6 2 2 2 4:8 8
12 Lagoa 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
13 Portel 8 0 6 2 10:14 6
14 Aljustrelense 7 0 3 4 3:15 3
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)