Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Sociedad B vs Castellon

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio Zubieta, San Sebastian
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Camara O.
57'
Garro J.
58'
Barri

AI Match Summary

Castellon in this LaLiga2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castellon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Real Sociedad B
15%
Draws
69%
Castellon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castellon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Castellon lately — more wins on the board than Real Sociedad B.
  • Model gives Castellon a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular LaLiga2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Real Sociedad B Clean Sheet 11%
Castellon Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sociedad B Castellon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.1 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 LaLiga2
Real Sociedad B vs Castellon
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 LaLiga2
Real Sociedad B vs Castellon
4:2
Nov 15, 2025 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Real Sociedad B
5:4
May 27, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Real Sociedad B vs Castellon
1:1
Dec 17, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Castellon vs Real Sociedad B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Sociedad B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Castellon Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sociedad B 10 / 100
Castellon 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sociedad B Castellon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Castellon has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Real Sociedad B scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Real Sociedad B remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Sociedad B VS Castellon
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sociedad B

(Home)
04 Oct
Real Sociedad B
2 : 3
Granada CF
30 Sept
Leicester U21
0 : 4
Real Sociedad B
26 Sept
AD Ceuta
3 : 1
Real Sociedad B
19 Sept
Real Sociedad B
0 : 1
Mallorca
15 Sept
Aston Villa U21
5 : 1
Real Sociedad B
Page 1 of 6

Castellon

(Away)
04 Oct
Castellon
1 : 1
AD Ceuta
28 Sept
Leganes
0 : 2
Castellon
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0
Tenerife
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2
Castellon
06 Sept
Castellon
2 : 0
Albacete
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eibar 8 7 0 1 18:7 21
2 Castellon 8 6 2 0 15:3 20
3 Almeria 8 6 0 2 13:5 18
4 Girona 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
5 Mallorca 8 4 2 2 8:3 14
6 Burgos CF 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
7 Sabadell 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
8 Gijon 8 4 1 3 8:8 13
9 Granada CF 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
10 Real Oviedo 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
11 Las Palmas 8 3 2 3 12:13 11
12 Tenerife 8 3 2 3 10:12 11
13 Leganes 8 3 2 3 6:11 11
14 Valladolid 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
15 Cordoba 8 3 0 5 13:18 9
16 Real Sociedad B 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
17 Eldense 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
18 Celta Vigo B 8 2 2 4 10:14 8
19 Cadiz 8 1 4 3 11:10 7
20 FC Andorra 8 2 1 5 12:15 7
21 AD Ceuta 8 1 2 5 7:18 5
22 Albacete 8 0 1 7 5:15 1
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)