Sport Picks

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Real Sociedad W vs Real Madrid W

Spain Spain

Liga F Women 2025/2026 Instalaciones de Zubieta, Lasarte-Oria
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Cahynova K.
46'
Sub
Marcos C. In: Eguiguren I.
Out: Marcos C.
53'
Holmgaard S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga F Women 2025/2026 game between Real Sociedad W and Real Madrid W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Madrid W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Real Sociedad W
39%
Draws
30%
Real Madrid W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Madrid W come out ahead of Real Sociedad W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Real Madrid W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Real Sociedad W Clean Sheet 20%
Real Madrid W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sociedad W Real Madrid W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 21
Draws 5 2
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Liga F Women
Real Sociedad W vs Real Madrid W
0:3
Dec 6, 2025 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Real Sociedad W
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Real Sociedad W
3:0
Feb 13, 2025 Copa de la Reina Women
Real Madrid W vs Real Sociedad W
3:1
Feb 4, 2025 Liga F Women
Real Sociedad W vs Real Madrid W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Sociedad W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Real Madrid W Compare

Top Goalscorer Holmgaard S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sociedad W 32 / 100
Real Madrid W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sociedad W Real Madrid W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Sociedad W found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Real Sociedad W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Real Madrid W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Sociedad W VS Real Madrid W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sociedad W

(Home)
31 May
Real Sociedad W
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid W
27 May
Barcelona W
2 : 1
Real Sociedad W
09 May
Real Sociedad W
3 : 0
Granada CF W
03 May
Dep. A Coruna W
1 : 2
Real Sociedad W
26 Apr
Real Sociedad W
2 : 0
Madrid CFF W
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Real Madrid W

(Away)
31 May
Real Madrid W
2 : 0
Granada CF W
26 May
Badalona W
0 : 4
Real Madrid W
10 May
Real Madrid W
1 : 0
Atl. Madrid W
02 May
Sevilla W
0 : 2
Real Madrid W
26 Apr
Real Madrid W
1 : 1
Logrono Dux W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona W302901130:987
2Real Madrid W30233465:1872
3Real Sociedad W30206461:2766
4Costa Adeje Tenerife W301412449:2254
5Atl. Madrid W30149763:3951
6Granada CF W301361136:4245
7Athletic Bilbao W301281035:4444
8Sevilla W301251333:4641
9Badalona W301091128:4639
10Madrid CFF W301141541:5937
11Espanyol W307101328:4431
12Dep. A Coruna W30871534:5431
13Eibar W30841818:4728
14Logrono Dux W30491729:5421
15Alhama W30352223:7814
16Levante W30232518:629
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - Second stage)
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women (Main)