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Real Sporting San Jose vs CD Santa Ursula

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2015/2016 game between Real Sporting San Jose and CD Santa Ursula finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Sporting San Jose.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Real Sporting San Jose
30%
Draws
41%
CD Santa Ursula
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Santa Ursula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • CD Santa Ursula carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on CD Santa Ursula taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Real Sporting San Jose Clean Sheet 20%
CD Santa Ursula Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sporting San Jose CD Santa Ursula
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.7 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Real Sporting San Jose vs CD Santa Ursula
4:0
Dec 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Real Sporting San Jose
2:0
Feb 21, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Real Sporting San Jose vs CD Santa Ursula
2:0
Oct 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Real Sporting San Jose
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sporting San Jose 16 / 100
CD Santa Ursula 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sporting San Jose CD Santa Ursula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Santa Ursula Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Santa Ursula's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Real Sporting San Jose has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Real Sporting San Jose found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Santa Ursula
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sporting San Jose

(Home)
14 May
Ibarra
6 : 0
Real Sporting San Jose
08 May
Real Sporting San Jose
1 : 1
Las Zocas
01 May
Cruz Santa
0 : 0
Real Sporting San Jose
24 Apr
Real Sporting San Jose
4 : 0
CD Santa Ursula
15 Apr
Telde
3 : 0
Real Sporting San Jose
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CD Santa Ursula

(Away)
11 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 0
CD Santa Ursula
04 May
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 0
Union Viera
26 Apr
Estrella
1 : 1
CD Santa Ursula
17 Apr
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 1
San Miguel
11 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0
CD Santa Ursula
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villa Santa Brigida 38 23 9 6 59:26 78
2 Las Palmas B 38 22 9 7 70:37 75
3 Lanzarote 38 19 16 3 67:28 73
4 SD Tenisca 38 21 7 10 60:38 70
5 UD San Fernando 38 17 13 8 41:26 64
6 Las Zocas 38 18 8 12 47:34 62
7 El Cotillo 38 18 7 13 58:52 61
8 Telde 38 17 8 13 59:39 59
9 Tenerife B 38 17 8 13 56:36 59
10 Ibarra 38 18 3 17 63:46 57
11 Union Sur Yaiza 38 15 9 14 47:43 54
12 Vera CD 38 13 12 13 59:52 51
13 CD Santa Ursula 38 11 15 12 41:47 48
14 Arucas 38 11 13 14 36:41 46
15 Union Viera 38 13 7 18 44:54 46
16 CD La Cuadra 38 11 6 21 36:61 39
17 CD Marino 38 8 8 22 36:67 32
18 Real Sporting San Jose 38 8 6 24 28:63 30
19 Cruz Santa 38 5 11 22 23:61 26
20 Atletico Granadilla 38 3 9 26 27:106 18
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)