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Real Sporting San Jose vs Corralejo

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012 game between Real Sporting San Jose and Corralejo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Real Sporting San Jose
30%
Draws
47%
Corralejo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Corralejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Sporting San Jose haven't matched Corralejo's recent run of results.
  • Corralejo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Real Sporting San Jose Clean Sheet 19%
Corralejo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sporting San Jose Corralejo
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 6 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.82 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Real Sporting San Jose vs Corralejo
1:1
Sep 24, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Corralejo vs Real Sporting San Jose
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sporting San Jose 10 / 100
Corralejo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sporting San Jose Corralejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corralejo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corralejo let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Real Sporting San Jose remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Real Sporting San Jose's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Real Sporting San Jose VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sporting San Jose

(Home)
14 May
Ibarra
6 : 0
Real Sporting San Jose
08 May
Real Sporting San Jose
1 : 1
Las Zocas
01 May
Cruz Santa
0 : 0
Real Sporting San Jose
24 Apr
Real Sporting San Jose
4 : 0
CD Santa Ursula
15 Apr
Telde
3 : 0
Real Sporting San Jose
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Corralejo

(Away)
18 May
Corralejo
2 : 1
San Isidro
11 May
Ibarra
2 : 0
Corralejo
05 May
Corralejo
3 : 1
Vera CD
28 Apr
SD Tenisca
1 : 1
Corralejo
21 Apr
Corralejo
3 : 1
Union Viera
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Marino 38 23 7 8 77:35 76
2 SD Tenisca 38 22 6 10 60:41 72
3 Las Palmas B 38 20 11 7 68:29 71
4 Vera CD 38 20 10 8 68:40 70
5 Lanzarote 38 20 9 9 50:34 69
6 Atletico Granadilla 38 19 8 11 55:37 65
7 Estrella 38 18 9 11 47:34 63
8 Tenerife B 38 16 11 11 70:53 59
9 Corralejo 38 16 10 12 49:45 58
10 Telde 38 16 6 16 55:52 54
11 San Pedro Martir 38 11 14 13 50:59 47
12 UD San Andres y Sauces 38 13 7 18 47:65 46
13 Mensajero 38 13 6 19 54:63 45
14 Villa Santa Brigida 38 12 9 17 56:66 45
15 Atletico Victoria 38 11 12 15 45:62 45
16 Las Zocas 38 11 8 19 46:60 41
17 Tijarafe 38 11 5 22 39:67 38
18 CD Laguna 38 10 7 21 35:55 37
19 Real Sporting San Jose 38 8 8 22 36:68 32
20 CD Charco Del Pino 38 5 7 26 36:78 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)