Sport Picks
Real Tapia vs Atletico de Lugones - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
Atletico de Lugones in this Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico de Lugones.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Tapia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Real Tapia haven't matched Atletico de Lugones's recent run of results.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Real Tapia taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Atletico de Lugones have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Real Tapia Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico de Lugones Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Tapia | Atletico de Lugones |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 36 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 23 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.09 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Real Tapia
3:2
Dec 15, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Tapia vs Atletico de Lugones
0:1
Jan 20, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Tapia vs Atletico de Lugones
0:1
Sep 2, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Real Tapia
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Tapia 85 / 100
Atletico de Lugones 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Tapia Atletico de Lugones
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Tapia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico de Lugones's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 36 matches.
Games between these two average 2.25 goals.
Atletico de Lugones's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Real Tapia found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (32 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS Atletico de Lugones
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Tapia
(Home) 11 May
Real Tapia
2 : 0 Lealtad
03 May
Atletico de Lugones
3 : 2 Real Tapia
27 Apr
Real Tapia
0 : 1 Covadonga
17 Apr
Langreo
4 : 1 Real Tapia
13 Apr
Real Tapia
0 : 1 Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 7
11 May
Real Tapia
2 : 0 Lealtad
27 Apr
Real Tapia
0 : 1 Covadonga
13 Apr
Real Tapia
0 : 1 Union Club Ceares
30 Mar
Real Tapia
2 : 1 Luarca
16 Mar
Real Tapia
0 : 4 Praviano
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Atletico de Lugones
(Away) 01 Nov
Atletico de Lugones
0 : 6 Rayo Vallecano
11 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2 Atletico de Lugones
19 Oct
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 1 Atletico de Lugones
13 May
Atletico de Lugones
0 : 2 Langreo
06 May
L Entregu CF
5 : 0 Atletico de Lugones
Page 1 of 8
11 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2 Atletico de Lugones
19 Oct
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 1 Atletico de Lugones
06 May
L Entregu CF
5 : 0 Atletico de Lugones
29 Apr
Valdesoto
2 : 0 Atletico de Lugones
15 Apr
Llanes
6 : 1 Atletico de Lugones
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tuilla | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 70:35 | 81 |
| 2 | Universidad Oviedo | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 59:28 | 75 |
| 3 | Covadonga | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 58:30 | 72 |
| 4 | Langreo | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 54:22 | 71 |
| 5 | Real Oviedo B | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 51:47 | 61 |
| 6 | Lealtad | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 52:42 | 56 |
| 7 | L Entregu CF | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 42:39 | 54 |
| 8 | Condal | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 48:42 | 54 |
| 9 | Cudillero | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 46:40 | 53 |
| 10 | Luarca | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 42:43 | 51 |
| 11 | Praviano | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 37:50 | 50 |
| 12 | Union Club Ceares | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 43:48 | 48 |
| 13 | Basico Urraca | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 55:57 | 45 |
| 14 | Real Tapia | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 34:43 | 43 |
| 15 | Gijon Industrial | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 35:42 | 43 |
| 16 | Candas CF | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 37:56 | 42 |
| 17 | Atletico de Lugones | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 42:52 | 42 |
| 18 | Llanes | 38 | 8 | 18 | 12 | 36:45 | 42 |
| 19 | Navia | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 35:73 | 28 |
| 20 | Navarro | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 27:69 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
