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Real Tapia vs Navarro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Tapia in this Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Tapia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Real Tapia
15%
Draws
42%
Navarro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Tapia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Real Tapia have won more games recently than Navarro.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Real Tapia Clean Sheet 20%
Navarro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Tapia Navarro
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 6 5
Draws 3 13
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 0.72 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.09 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Tapia vs Navarro
2:1
Nov 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Navarro vs Real Tapia
0:1
Feb 24, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Tapia vs Navarro
0:1
Oct 6, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Navarro vs Real Tapia
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Tapia 31 / 100
Navarro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Tapia Navarro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Tapia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navarro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Navarro has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Real Tapia's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Navarro
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Tapia

(Home)
11 May
Real Tapia
2 : 0
Lealtad
03 May
Atletico de Lugones
3 : 2
Real Tapia
27 Apr
Real Tapia
0 : 1
Covadonga
17 Apr
Langreo
4 : 1
Real Tapia
13 Apr
Real Tapia
0 : 1
Union Club Ceares
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Navarro

(Away)
06 Aug
Navarro
0 : 3
EI San Martin
10 May
Navarro
3 : 1
CD Mosconia
03 May
Union Club Ceares
3 : 0
Navarro
26 Apr
Navarro
1 : 2
Caudal Deportivo
19 Apr
Club Siero
1 : 0
Navarro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuilla 38 25 6 7 70:35 81
2 Universidad Oviedo 38 22 9 7 59:28 75
3 Covadonga 38 21 9 8 58:30 72
4 Langreo 38 20 11 7 54:22 71
5 Real Oviedo B 38 17 10 11 51:47 61
6 Lealtad 38 15 11 12 52:42 56
7 L Entregu CF 38 13 15 10 42:39 54
8 Condal 38 15 9 14 48:42 54
9 Cudillero 38 13 14 11 46:40 53
10 Luarca 38 13 12 13 42:43 51
11 Praviano 38 13 11 14 37:50 50
12 Union Club Ceares 38 13 9 16 43:48 48
13 Basico Urraca 38 11 12 15 55:57 45
14 Real Tapia 38 11 10 17 34:43 43
15 Gijon Industrial 38 10 13 15 35:42 43
16 Candas CF 38 11 9 18 37:56 42
17 Atletico de Lugones 38 10 12 16 42:52 42
18 Llanes 38 8 18 12 36:45 42
19 Navia 38 5 13 20 35:73 28
20 Navarro 38 3 9 26 27:69 18
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)