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Real Tapia vs Navia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013
Real Tapia Logo

Real Tapia

2 - 1
FT
Navia Logo

Navia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Tapia in this Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Tapia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Real Tapia
15%
Draws
49%
Navia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Navia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Tapia lately — more wins on the board than Navia.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Real Tapia taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Real Tapia Clean Sheet 14%
Navia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Tapia Navia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 3 10
Losses 23 16
Goals Scored 0.72 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.09 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Tapia vs Navia
2:1
Oct 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Navia vs Real Tapia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Tapia 75 / 100
Navia 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Tapia Navia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Tapia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navia has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Difficult form: Navia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Real Tapia scored in 47% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Tapia VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Tapia

(Home)
11 May
Real Tapia
2 : 0
Lealtad
03 May
Atletico de Lugones
3 : 2
Real Tapia
27 Apr
Real Tapia
0 : 1
Covadonga
17 Apr
Langreo
4 : 1
Real Tapia
13 Apr
Real Tapia
0 : 1
Union Club Ceares
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Navia

(Away)
19 May
Navia
1 : 5
L Entregu CF
11 May
Atletico de Lugones
1 : 1
Navia
05 May
Navia
1 : 3
Condal
28 Apr
Luarca
1 : 2
Navia
21 Apr
Navia
0 : 3
Llanes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuilla 38 25 6 7 70:35 81
2 Universidad Oviedo 38 22 9 7 59:28 75
3 Covadonga 38 21 9 8 58:30 72
4 Langreo 38 20 11 7 54:22 71
5 Real Oviedo B 38 17 10 11 51:47 61
6 Lealtad 38 15 11 12 52:42 56
7 L Entregu CF 38 13 15 10 42:39 54
8 Condal 38 15 9 14 48:42 54
9 Cudillero 38 13 14 11 46:40 53
10 Luarca 38 13 12 13 42:43 51
11 Praviano 38 13 11 14 37:50 50
12 Union Club Ceares 38 13 9 16 43:48 48
13 Basico Urraca 38 11 12 15 55:57 45
14 Real Tapia 38 11 10 17 34:43 43
15 Gijon Industrial 38 10 13 15 35:42 43
16 Candas CF 38 11 9 18 37:56 42
17 Atletico de Lugones 38 10 12 16 42:52 42
18 Llanes 38 8 18 12 36:45 42
19 Navia 38 5 13 20 35:73 28
20 Navarro 38 3 9 26 27:69 18
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)