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Rebel Kyiv vs Karbon Cherkasy Prediction & H2H Stats

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Babiychuk M.
4' Event
Zhuravel V.
19' Event
Bilous A.

AI Match Summary

Karbon Cherkasy in this Druha Liga matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karbon Cherkasy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Rebel Kyiv
35%
Draws
32%
Karbon Cherkasy
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Rebel Kyiv have won more games recently than Karbon Cherkasy.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Druha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Rebel Kyiv Clean Sheet 68%
Karbon Cherkasy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rebel Kyiv Karbon Cherkasy
Matches Played 29 10
Wins 12 4
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.34 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Druha Liga
Rebel Kyiv vs Karbon Cherkasy
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rebel Kyiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Babiychuk M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zhuravel V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Karbon Cherkasy Compare

Top Goalscorer Chornyi V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bilous A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rebel Kyiv 41 / 100
Karbon Cherkasy 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rebel Kyiv Karbon Cherkasy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rebel Kyiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Rebel Kyiv scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Karbon Cherkasy conceded in 60% of 10 recent games.

Rebel Kyiv has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rebel Kyiv VS Karbon Cherkasy
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rebel Kyiv

(Home)
27 Sept
Trostyanets
2 : 2
Rebel Kyiv
12 Sept
Oleksandriya 2
1 : 1
Rebel Kyiv
06 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 3
Rebel Kyiv
29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
21 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
0 : 4
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Page 1 of 6

Karbon Cherkasy

(Away)
25 Sept
Karbon Cherkasy
1 : 0
SC Poltava 2
18 Sept
Karbon Cherkasy
2 : 2
Oleksandriya 2
13 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 2
Karbon Cherkasy
09 Sept
Karbon Cherkasy
0 : 3
Epitsentr
04 Sept
Karbon Cherkasy
1 : 0
Lozova
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 7 5 2 0 17:5 17
2 Nyva Vinnytsya 7 4 2 1 12:6 14
3 Dnister Zalishchyky 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
4 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 7 4 1 2 14:12 13
5 Nyva Ternopil 2 7 3 0 4 7:13 9
6 FC Vilkhivtsi 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
7 Skala 1911 7 2 1 4 6:11 7
8 Dinaz Vyshgorod 7 0 4 3 10:17 4
9 Rukh Lviv 7 1 0 6 11:13 3
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karbon Cherkasy 7 3 3 1 11:8 12
2 Rebel Kyiv 7 3 2 2 14:13 11
3 Atlet Kiev 7 3 2 2 15:11 11
4 Oleksandriya 2 7 2 4 1 8:6 10
5 Trostyanets 7 2 4 1 8:5 10
6 Lozova 7 3 1 3 7:8 10
7 SC Poltava 2 7 2 2 3 4:6 8
8 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
9 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 7 1 1 5 5:14 4
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)