Sport Picks
Reboceros de La Piedad vs Alacranes de Durango
Mexico
Liga Premier Serie A 
Match Events
22'
22'
Torres J.
30'
30'
Vidana Galvan O.
56'
56'
Ontiveros A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Premier Serie A game between Reboceros de La Piedad and Alacranes de Durango finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alacranes de Durango.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alacranes de Durango
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Alacranes de Durango come out ahead of Reboceros de La Piedad on wins alone.
- Model gives Alacranes de Durango a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Alacranes de Durango have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Reboceros de La Piedad Clean Sheet 10%
Alacranes de Durango Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Reboceros de La Piedad | Alacranes de Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 20 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 21 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 2.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.43 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.43 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Alacranes de Durango vs Reboceros de La Piedad
3:1
Oct 12, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Reboceros de La Piedad vs Alacranes de Durango
0:5
Jan 23, 2021 Liga Premier Serie A
Alacranes de Durango vs Reboceros de La Piedad
2:0
Sep 27, 2020 Liga Premier Serie A
Reboceros de La Piedad vs Alacranes de Durango
2:4
Feb 6, 2011 Liga de Expansion MX
Alacranes de Durango vs Reboceros de La Piedad
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Reboceros de La Piedad Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Alacranes de Durango Compare
Top Goalscorer Torres J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vidana Galvan O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Reboceros de La Piedad 10 / 100
Alacranes de Durango 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Reboceros de La Piedad Alacranes de Durango
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ALA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Reboceros de La Piedad scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Alacranes de Durango has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Reboceros de La Piedad stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Reboceros de La Piedad VS Alacranes de Durango
2 Goals Scored 2.5
3.43 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 75%
71% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Reboceros de La Piedad
(Home) 20 Jun
Reboceros de La Piedad
0 : 2 Queretaro
12 Apr
Reboceros de La Piedad
3 : 0 Guerreros de Autlan
04 Apr
Alacranes de Durango
3 : 1 Reboceros de La Piedad
28 Mar
Mineros de Fresnillo
6 : 2 Reboceros de La Piedad
22 Mar
Reboceros de La Piedad
2 : 3 Cimarrones de Sonora
Page 1 of 6
20 Jun
Reboceros de La Piedad
0 : 2 Queretaro
12 Apr
Reboceros de La Piedad
3 : 0 Guerreros de Autlan
22 Mar
Reboceros de La Piedad
2 : 3 Cimarrones de Sonora
08 Mar
Reboceros de La Piedad
5 : 4 Zapotlanejo
22 Feb
Reboceros de La Piedad
3 : 0 UA Zacatecas
Page 1 of 4
Alacranes de Durango
(Away) 25 Jul
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
10 May
Alacranes de Durango
0 : 0 Deportiva Venados
06 May
Deportiva Venados
2 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
03 May
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 1 Halcones de Zapopan
29 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
0 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
06 May
Deportiva Venados
2 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
29 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
0 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
22 Apr
Zacatepec
2 : 2 Alacranes de Durango
28 Mar
Cimarrones de Sonora
0 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alacranes de Durango | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 71:16 | 74 |
| 2 | Tigres de Alica | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 46:25 | 56 |
| 3 | Cimarrones de Sonora | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 46:19 | 54 |
| 4 | Leones Negros 2 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 42:26 | 53 |
| 5 | Tecos | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 49:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Tritones Vallarta | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 32:27 | 46 |
| 7 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:41 | 39 |
| 8 | Los Cabos United | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 37:40 | 37 |
| 9 | Guerreros de Autlan | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | 32 |
| 10 | UA Zacatecas | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 32:49 | 29 |
| 11 | Ensenada FC | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 30:55 | 28 |
| 12 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 39:66 | 23 |
| 13 | Zapotlanejo | 26 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 39:73 | 21 |
| 14 | Colima FC | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 24:52 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apodaca | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 47:19 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Santiago | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:21 | 51 |
| 3 | Zacatepec | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 29:15 | 45 |
| 4 | Halcones de Zapopan | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:27 | 44 |
| 5 | Calor De San Pedro | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37:26 | 44 |
| 6 | Gavilanes de Matamoros | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 31:22 | 44 |
| 7 | Lobos ULMX | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:28 | 40 |
| 8 | Correcaminos 2 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27:25 | 36 |
| 9 | Chilpancingo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:41 | 35 |
| 10 | Cordobes FC | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Zitacuaro | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:31 | 28 |
| 12 | CS Canamy | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 33:53 | 26 |
| 13 | Ciervos | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20:50 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico Hidalgo | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 22:62 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 55:9 | 71 |
| 2 | Deportiva Venados | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61:25 | 52 |
| 3 | Tapachula | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 51:35 | 44 |
| 4 | Celaya | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 43 |
| 5 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 35:28 | 42 |
| 6 | Montaneses | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 35:28 | 38 |
| 7 | Pioneros | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 35:35 | 35 |
| 8 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 34 |
| 9 | Heroes de Zaci | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 33:46 | 34 |
| 10 | Chapulineros | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 21:33 | 23 |
| 11 | Canoneros FC | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25:49 | 22 |
| 12 | Neza FC | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 25:73 | 19 |
| 13 | Dragones Toluca | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 21:47 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)
