Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Reboceros de La Piedad

Tue, Nov 18, 2025

2 - 3

02:05 AM

Mineros de Fresnillo

Our Tip

Match Events

40'

Siqueiros C.

50'

Siqueiros C.

64'

Castro Garcia W. D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A game between Reboceros de La Piedad and Mineros de Fresnillo finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mineros de Fresnillo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Reboceros de La Piedad

Draws

90%

Mineros de Fresnillo

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mineros de Fresnillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Mineros de Fresnillo carry the better recent record into this one.
90% — that's where the model lands on Mineros de Fresnillo taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Mineros de Fresnillo here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 69%

Over 4.5 Goals 31%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

Reboceros de La Piedad Clean Sheet 10%

Mineros de Fresnillo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Reboceros de La Piedad	Mineros de Fresnillo
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	12
Draws	1	6
Losses	21	12
Goals Scored	2.25	2.13
Goals Conceded	3.38	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.38	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Mineros de Fresnillo vs Reboceros de La Piedad

Possession: 59% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

6:2

Nov 18, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Reboceros de La Piedad vs Mineros de Fresnillo

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

2:3

Mar 8, 2021 Liga Premier Serie A

Reboceros de La Piedad vs Mineros de Fresnillo

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Dec 16, 2020 Liga Premier Serie A

Mineros de Fresnillo vs Reboceros de La Piedad

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reboceros de La Piedad Compare

Top Goalscorer Siqueiros C.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Mineros de Fresnillo Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro Garcia W. D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ramos C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reboceros de La Piedad 10 / 100

Mineros de Fresnillo 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Reboceros de La Piedad Mineros de Fresnillo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Reboceros de La Piedad scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Mineros de Fresnillo conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Reboceros de La Piedad has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Reboceros de La Piedad VS Mineros de Fresnillo

2.25 Goals Scored 2.13

3.38 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 88%

100% Over 2.5 63%

88% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17