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Recanatese vs Agnonese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Gomez F.
10' Event
Liguori M.
30' Event
Liguori M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 game between Recanatese and Agnonese finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Recanatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Recanatese
20%
Draws
23%
Agnonese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Recanatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Recanatese come out ahead of Agnonese on wins alone.
  • Recanatese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Recanatese have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Recanatese Clean Sheet 68%
Agnonese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recanatese Agnonese
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.45 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Agnonese
5:2
Jan 27, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Recanatese
0:4
Jan 12, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Recanatese
2:1
Sep 8, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Agnonese
4:2
Mar 3, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Recanatese
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Recanatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Liguori M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Agnonese Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Ercole F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recanatese 95 / 100
Agnonese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recanatese Agnonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Recanatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agnonese has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Recanatese's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Recanatese stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Recanatese VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Recanatese

(Home)
17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1
San Marino Calcio
03 May
Recanatese
2 : 0
Fossombrone
26 Apr
Teramo
2 : 2
Recanatese
19 Apr
Recanatese
2 : 0
AS Sora
12 Apr
Maceratese
2 : 1
Recanatese
Page 1 of 7

Agnonese

(Away)
19 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 2
Montegiorgio
16 Jun
Castelfidardo
4 : 0
Agnonese
13 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 4
Aprilia
06 Jun
Agnonese
0 : 2
Roma City
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0
Porto Sant'Elpidio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campobasso 34 21 9 4 63:29 72
2 Notaresco Calcio 34 18 10 6 59:34 64
3 Pineto 34 15 11 8 45:33 56
4 Cynthialbalonga 34 14 14 6 51:35 56
5 Matese 34 15 11 8 46:38 56
6 Castelfidardo 34 14 13 7 46:33 55
7 Recanatese 34 13 11 10 62:45 50
8 Castelnuovo Vomano 34 14 8 12 53:53 50
9 Vastese 34 12 13 9 45:37 48
10 Montegiorgio 34 13 7 14 42:42 46
11 FC Rieti 34 12 8 14 38:42 44
12 Aprilia 34 11 11 12 43:49 44
13 Roma City 34 8 16 10 40:41 40
14 US Tolentino 34 9 13 12 52:53 40
15 Vastogirardi 34 10 10 14 46:51 40
16 Giulianova 34 7 10 17 33:50 31
17 Porto Sant'Elpidio 34 4 5 25 22:63 17
18 Agnonese 34 3 6 25 25:83 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 (Play Offs)