Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Recanatese in this Serie D - Group F 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Recanatese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Recanatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Recanatese lately — more wins on the board than Amiternina.
- Model gives Recanatese a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Recanatese Clean Sheet 16%
Amiternina Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Recanatese | Amiternina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Amiternina
2:0
Oct 25, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Amiternina vs Recanatese
2:1
Apr 12, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Amiternina
2:3
Nov 30, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Amiternina vs Recanatese
2:1
Mar 9, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Amiternina
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Recanatese 84 / 100
Amiternina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Recanatese Amiternina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Recanatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Amiternina conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Amiternina lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Recanatese scored in 77% of their last 31 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recanatese VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Recanatese
(Home) 17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1 San Marino Calcio
03 May
Recanatese
2 : 0 Fossombrone
26 Apr
Teramo
2 : 2 Recanatese
19 Apr
Recanatese
2 : 0 AS Sora
12 Apr
Maceratese
2 : 1 Recanatese
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17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1 San Marino Calcio
03 May
Recanatese
2 : 0 Fossombrone
19 Apr
Recanatese
2 : 0 AS Sora
02 Apr
Recanatese
2 : 1 Vigor Senigallia
22 Mar
Recanatese
0 : 0 Giulianova
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Amiternina
(Away) 08 May
Fermana
3 : 0 Amiternina
01 May
Amiternina
1 : 2 Castelfidardo
24 Apr
Avezzano
1 : 0 Amiternina
17 Apr
Amiternina
1 : 3 Notaresco Calcio
10 Apr
Calcio Chieti
3 : 0 Amiternina
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08 May
Fermana
3 : 0 Amiternina
24 Apr
Avezzano
1 : 0 Amiternina
10 Apr
Calcio Chieti
3 : 0 Amiternina
20 Mar
Sambenedettese
1 : 0 Amiternina
28 Feb
Recanatese
2 : 0 Amiternina
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 76:36 | 81 |
| 2 | Fano | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 49:29 | 68 |
| 3 | Campobasso | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 47:27 | 61 |
| 4 | Matelica | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 57:37 | 58 |
| 5 | Fermana | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 50:39 | 55 |
| 6 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 49:38 | 49 |
| 7 | Recanatese | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 45:50 | 48 |
| 8 | Jesina | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 39:46 | 47 |
| 9 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 49:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Avezzano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 51:52 | 44 |
| 11 | Vis Pesaro | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:41 | 43 |
| 12 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 33:40 | 42 |
| 13 | Agnonese | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Monticelli | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 42:48 | 37 |
| 15 | Isernia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 27:49 | 37 |
| 16 | Folgore Veregra | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34:52 | 32 |
| 17 | Giulianova | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 27:63 | 27 |
| 18 | Amiternina | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 34:57 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2015/2016 (Play Out)
