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Stadium Background

Recanatese vs AS Sora

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 Nicola Tubaldi, Recanati
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Nanapere E.
90' Event
Ciccanti D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Recanatese and AS Sora finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Recanatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Recanatese
20%
Draws
33%
AS Sora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Recanatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Recanatese's 1.24 goals per match outpaces what AS Sora have produced (1.17).
  • Recanatese are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Recanatese here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Recanatese Clean Sheet 68%
AS Sora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recanatese AS Sora
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs AS Sora
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group F
AS Sora vs Recanatese
1:2
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs AS Sora
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group F
AS Sora vs Recanatese
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Recanatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Nanapere E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ciccanti D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

AS Sora Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recanatese 86 / 100
AS Sora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recanatese AS Sora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Recanatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recanatese found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

AS Sora has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Recanatese remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Recanatese VS AS Sora
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Recanatese

(Home)
17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1
San Marino Calcio
03 May
Recanatese
2 : 0
Fossombrone
26 Apr
Teramo
2 : 2
Recanatese
19 Apr
Recanatese
2 : 0
AS Sora
12 Apr
Maceratese
2 : 1
Recanatese
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AS Sora

(Away)
03 May
Castelfidardo
0 : 2
AS Sora
26 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 1
Unipomezia
19 Apr
Recanatese
2 : 0
AS Sora
12 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 2
San Marino Calcio
02 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
AS Sora
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)