Sport Picks
Recanatese vs Avezzano
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 Nicola Tubaldi, Recanati 
Match Events
26'
26'
Barbetta L.
28'
28'
D'Angelo M.
31'
31'
Konate A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Recanatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Recanatese haven't matched Avezzano's recent run of results.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Recanatese taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Recanatese Clean Sheet 16%
Avezzano Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Recanatese | Avezzano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Avezzano
2:2
Oct 19, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Avezzano vs Recanatese
0:2
Feb 16, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Avezzano vs Recanatese
0:0
Oct 13, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Avezzano
1:0
Mar 31, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Avezzano
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Recanatese Compare
Top Goalscorer D'Angelo M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Avezzano Compare
Top Goalscorer Barbetta L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Konate A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Recanatese 36 / 100
Avezzano 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Recanatese Avezzano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recanatese found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Avezzano let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recanatese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recanatese VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Recanatese
(Home) 17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1 San Marino Calcio
03 May
Recanatese
2 : 0 Fossombrone
26 Apr
Teramo
2 : 2 Recanatese
19 Apr
Recanatese
2 : 0 AS Sora
12 Apr
Maceratese
2 : 1 Recanatese
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1 San Marino Calcio
03 May
Recanatese
2 : 0 Fossombrone
19 Apr
Recanatese
2 : 0 AS Sora
02 Apr
Recanatese
2 : 1 Vigor Senigallia
22 Mar
Recanatese
0 : 0 Giulianova
Page 1 of 3
Avezzano
(Away) 04 May
Avezzano
4 : 0 Ancona
27 Apr
Isernia
3 : 2 Avezzano
17 Apr
Avezzano
4 : 0 Castelfidardo
13 Apr
Avezzano
2 : 1 Fossombrone
06 Apr
Fermana
2 : 0 Avezzano
Page 1 of 6
27 Apr
Isernia
3 : 2 Avezzano
06 Apr
Fermana
2 : 0 Avezzano
23 Mar
Roma City
1 : 1 Avezzano
02 Mar
Aquila Calcio
5 : 1 Avezzano
16 Feb
Recanatese
2 : 2 Avezzano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 61:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 62 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 51:33 | 60 |
| 4 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52:39 | 58 |
| 5 | Fossombrone | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 44:36 | 50 |
| 6 | Ancona | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 35:40 | 47 |
| 7 | Avezzano | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 41:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:34 | 45 |
| 9 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 35:39 | 43 |
| 10 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 36:38 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 37:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Recanatese | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:53 | 40 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 32:39 | 40 |
| 14 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 37:45 | 38 |
| 15 | Civitanovese Calcio | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 31:39 | 37 |
| 16 | Roma City | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:36 | 35 |
| 17 | Isernia | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32:57 | 34 |
| 18 | Fermana | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 24:42 | 27 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Out)
