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Recanatese vs Pietralunga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F Nicola Tubaldi, Recanati
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Recanatese
30%
Draws
12%
Pietralunga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Recanatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Pietralunga haven't matched Recanatese's recent run of results.
  • Recanatese are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Recanatese Clean Sheet 68%
Pietralunga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recanatese Pietralunga
Matches Played 28 6
Wins 7 0
Draws 9 2
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.29 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 0.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Pietralunga
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recanatese 86 / 100
Pietralunga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recanatese Pietralunga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Recanatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pietralunga let in goals in 83% of their last 6 matches.

Recanatese found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Recanatese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Pietralunga lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Recanatese VS Pietralunga
1.63 Goals Scored 0.29
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Recanatese

(Home)
04 Oct
Recanatese
2 : 3
Maceratese
27 Sept
Lanciano FC
4 : 1
Recanatese
20 Sept
Recanatese
0 : 0
Montecchio Gallo
16 Sept
Recanatese
4 : 1
Foligno
12 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 1
Recanatese
Page 1 of 6

Pietralunga

(Away)
04 Oct
Pietralunga
0 : 3
Aquila Calcio
26 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 1
Pietralunga
20 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 2
Maceratese
16 Sept
Montecchio Gallo
2 : 1
Pietralunga
12 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 1
Foligno
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Teramo 6 4 1 1 17:11 13
3 Vigor Senigallia 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 Foligno 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
5 Ancona 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Fossombrone 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
7 Notaresco Calcio 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
8 Montecchio Gallo 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Santegidiese 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Giulianova 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
11 Lanciano FC 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
12 Termoli 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
13 Maceratese 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Atletico Ascoli 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Recanatese 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
16 Angelana 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
17 Sporting Trestina 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
18 Pietralunga 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)