Sport Picks
Recanatese vs San Marino Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 Nicola Tubaldi, Recanati 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-1, with Recanatese advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Recanatese's 1.29 goals per match outpaces what San Marino Calcio have produced (1.03).
- Model gives Recanatese a 29% chance of winning this.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor San Marino Calcio, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Recanatese | San Marino Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.53 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Recanatese Compare
San Marino Calcio Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Recanatese scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
San Marino Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recanatese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
