Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Recoleta vs Guarani

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Ricardo Gregor, Asunción
Recoleta Logo

Recoleta

2 - 1
FT
Guarani Logo

Guarani

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Wlk A.
Assist: Pereira M.
26' Event
Zaracho S.
Assist: Llano J.
27'
Baez W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Recoleta
30%
Draws
70%
Guarani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Recoleta's 1.42 goals per match outpaces what Guarani have produced (0.97).
  • Guarani are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Guarani, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Guarani have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 12%
Guarani Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recoleta Guarani
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.42 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.76 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Recoleta
2:0
May 23, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Guarani
2:1
Mar 18, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Recoleta
3:1
Oct 18, 2025 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Recoleta
2:1
Aug 4, 2025 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Guarani
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Recoleta Compare

Top Goalscorer Wlk A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baez W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Guarani Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaracho S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recoleta 10 / 100
Guarani 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recoleta Guarani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recoleta scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Guarani let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Recoleta VS Guarani
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Recoleta

(Home)
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0
Recoleta
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3
Sportivo Trinidense
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0
Recoleta
03 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3
Cerro Porteno
29 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 7

Guarani

(Away)
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1
Guarani
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1
Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0
Recoleta
02 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1
Guarani
30 Aug
Guarani
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 22 15 4 3 37:17 49
2 Nacional Asuncion 22 10 9 3 31:22 39
3 Cerro Porteno 22 11 5 6 30:22 38
4 Sportivo Ameliano 22 8 9 5 27:21 33
5 Sportivo Trinidense 22 8 8 6 30:24 32
6 Libertad Asuncion 22 9 4 9 34:26 31
7 Guarani 22 7 8 7 27:23 29
8 Recoleta 22 8 4 10 35:32 28
9 Rubio Nu 22 6 5 11 15:26 23
10 2 de Mayo 22 5 7 10 18:35 22
11 Sp. Luqueno 22 5 5 12 24:33 20
12 San Lorenzo 22 3 6 13 14:41 15
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)