Sport Picks
Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Ricardo Gregor, Asunción 
Match Events
3'
3'
Vera E.
Assist: Carrizo F.
12'
12'
Baez W.
18'
18'
Gonzalez A.
Assist: Monzon L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Libertad Asuncion
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Libertad Asuncion carry the better recent record into this one.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Libertad Asuncion taking it.
- Libertad Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Libertad Asuncion, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 14%
Libertad Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Recoleta | Libertad Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 5, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion
1:2
Jul 30, 2026 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Recoleta
4:1
Mar 30, 2026 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Recoleta
1:0
Feb 2, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Recoleta Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Libertad Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Vera E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Recoleta 27 / 100
Libertad Asuncion 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Recoleta Libertad Asuncion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Libertad Asuncion Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recoleta found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (34 games).
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Libertad Asuncion conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.
Recoleta has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recoleta VS Libertad Asuncion
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Recoleta
(Home) 05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Recoleta
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1 Guairena FC
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0 Recoleta
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 7
05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1 Guairena FC
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
03 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Cerro Porteno
29 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 4
Libertad Asuncion
(Away) 05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 7
05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
02 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 Libertad Asuncion
30 Aug
Cerro Porteno
1 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
