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Stadium Background

Recoleta vs O Higgins

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Municipal Leonel Sánchez Lineros, Recoleta
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Garrido N.
40' Event
Vecino T.
(Penalty)
42' Event
Cepeda C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Recoleta
15%
Draws
32%
O Higgins
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Recoleta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to O Higgins lately — more wins on the board than Recoleta.
  • Model gives Recoleta a 53% chance of winning this.
  • O Higgins arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor O Higgins, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 18%
O Higgins Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recoleta O Higgins
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Copa Chile
Recoleta vs O Higgins
1:3
Jun 28, 2026 Copa Chile
O Higgins vs Recoleta
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Recoleta Compare

Top Goalscorer Cepeda C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

O Higgins Compare

Top Goalscorer Aviles T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tapia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recoleta 40 / 100
O Higgins 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recoleta O Higgins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Recoleta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: O Higgins conceded in 85% of 34 recent games.

Recoleta's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recoleta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Recoleta VS O Higgins
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Recoleta

(Home)
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1
San Marcos de Arica
06 Sept
Antofagasta
1 : 2
Recoleta
30 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0
Recoleta
27 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 3
O Higgins
22 Aug
Recoleta
2 : 1
Copiapo
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O Higgins

(Away)
13 Sept
A. Italiano
1 : 0
O Higgins
06 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Union La Calera
01 Sept
U. Catolica
3 : 2
O Higgins
27 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 3
O Higgins
23 Aug
O Higgins
0 : 1
Palestino
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Deportes Iquique 6 3 2 1 12:6 11
3 Limache 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
4 San Marcos de Arica 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Catolica 6 5 0 1 14:9 15
2 Everton 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
3 San Luis 6 1 3 2 11:10 6
4 Copiapo 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antofagasta 6 5 1 0 12:5 16
2 Cobreloa 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 La Serena 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
4 Cobresal 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. De Chile 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Union La Calera 6 3 2 1 13:6 11
3 San Felipe 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
4 S. Wanderers 6 1 0 5 7:18 3
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 6 4 1 1 15:8 13
2 O Higgins 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
3 Recoleta 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
4 U. Espanola 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 Curico Unido 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Rangers 6 2 0 4 4:7 6
4 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 8:12 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportes Santa Cruz 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 A. Italiano 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
3 Palestino 6 3 1 2 12:9 10
4 Magallanes 6 0 0 6 5:15 0
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D. Concepcion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 D. Puerto Montt 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 0 4 7:9 6
4 Deportes Temuco 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)