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Recoleta vs Rubio Nu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
10:20 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Recoleta at 1.44 goals for, 1.74 against; Rubio Nu at 0.96 for, 1.61 against. Head-to-head, Recoleta have won 3 to Rubio Nu's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 7, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.44, favoring Recoleta. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Recoleta
20%
Draws
40%
Rubio Nu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Recoleta lately — more wins on the board than Rubio Nu.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Recoleta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Recoleta, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 16%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recoleta Rubio Nu
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.44 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Recoleta
1:3
Mar 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Rubio Nu
1:0
Jan 29, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Recoleta
1:1
Jul 28, 2024 Division Intermedia
Recoleta vs Rubio Nu
2:0
Apr 19, 2024 Division Intermedia
Rubio Nu vs Recoleta
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recoleta 30 / 100
Rubio Nu 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recoleta Rubio Nu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Recoleta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recoleta found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (34 games).

Rubio Nu let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Rubio Nu has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Recoleta VS Rubio Nu
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Recoleta

(Home)
05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0
Recoleta
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1
Guairena FC
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0
Recoleta
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3
Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 7

Rubio Nu

(Away)
06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2
Rubio Nu
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1
Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2
2 de Mayo
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0
Rubio Nu
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 13 8 2 3 22:10 26
2 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
3 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
4 Nacional Asuncion 13 6 5 2 20:8 23
5 Sportivo Trinidense 13 7 2 4 23:13 23
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Sportivo Ameliano 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
8 Cerro Porteno 13 5 2 6 15:14 17
9 Sp. Luqueno 13 4 1 8 14:24 13
10 Rubio Nu 13 3 3 7 15:24 12
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 13 0 3 10 4:22 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)