Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Recoleta vs San Felipe

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Leonel Sánchez Lineros, Recoleta
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Aravena B.
37' Event
Estigarribia G.
46'
Sub
Bravo D. In: Fuentes D.
Out: Bravo D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Recoleta and San Felipe finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Recoleta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Recoleta
44%
Draws
20%
San Felipe
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • San Felipe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 18%
San Felipe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recoleta San Felipe
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs San Felipe
2:0
Aug 10, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs San Felipe
2:1
Mar 29, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Recoleta
0:0
Jul 22, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs San Felipe
0:0
Mar 3, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Recoleta
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Recoleta Compare

Top Goalscorer Estigarribia G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

San Felipe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recoleta 36 / 100
San Felipe 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recoleta San Felipe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Recoleta scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

San Felipe has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Recoleta remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Recoleta VS San Felipe
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Recoleta

(Home)
06 Jul
Colo Colo
2 : 2
Recoleta
28 Jun
O Higgins
1 : 1
Recoleta
20 Jun
Recoleta
0 : 3
Colo Colo
07 Jun
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Recoleta
30 May
Recoleta
0 : 0
San Luis
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San Felipe

(Away)
04 Jul
San Felipe
1 : 1
Union La Calera
28 Jun
U. De Chile
2 : 0
San Felipe
21 Jun
Union La Calera
0 : 2
San Felipe
08 Jun
U. Espanola
2 : 2
San Felipe
30 May
San Felipe
1 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa1585230:1729
2S. Wanderers1575329:1826
3San Marcos de Arica1567219:1125
4Deportes Temuco1565426:1823
5Antofagasta1565422:1623
6San Luis1565424:2123
7D. Puerto Montt1572617:1623
8U. Espanola1564521:1922
9Magallanes1564524:2422
10Recoleta1564524:2422
11Copiapo1564521:2322
12Curico Unido1546516:2418
13San Felipe1544713:2716
14Deportes Iquique1527619:2313
15Deportes Santa Cruz1526719:2612
16Rangers15031211:283
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)