Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Recoleta vs Santos

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Río Parapití, Pedro Juan Caballero
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Neymar
Assist: Rollheiser B.
43'
Gonzalez J.
46'
Sub
Rios P. In: Parzajuk K.
Out: Rios P.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Recoleta
15%
Draws
65%
Santos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Santos have won more games recently than Recoleta.
  • Model gives Santos a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Santos arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 13%
Santos Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recoleta Santos
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.46 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Recoleta vs Santos
1:1
Apr 15, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Santos vs Recoleta
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Recoleta Compare

Top Goalscorer Galeano F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Santos Compare

Top Goalscorer Neymar
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recoleta 14 / 100
Santos 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recoleta Santos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recoleta scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Santos let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recoleta went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Recoleta VS Santos
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Recoleta

(Home)
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3
Sportivo Trinidense
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0
Recoleta
03 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3
Cerro Porteno
29 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
26 Aug
Deportivo Santani
0 : 2
Recoleta
Page 1 of 6

Santos

(Away)
16 Sept
Atletico-MG
5 : 2
Santos
13 Sept
Santos
2 : 1
Cruzeiro
09 Sept
Santos
2 : 0
Atletico-MG
06 Sept
Internacional
2 : 3
Santos
03 Sept
Santos
0 : 0
Palmeiras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macara 6 2 4 0 6:3 10
2 Tigre 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
3 America De Cali 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
4 Alianza Atl. 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
2 Cienciano 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
3 Juventud 6 1 4 1 10:7 7
4 Academia Puerto Cabello 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo 6 3 3 0 6:1 12
2 O Higgins 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Millonarios 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
4 Boston River 6 1 0 5 5:12 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Recoleta 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
2 Santos 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
3 San Lorenzo 6 1 4 1 6:5 7
4 Dep. Cuenca 6 1 3 2 3:7 6
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ 6 5 1 0 15:5 16
2 Caracas 6 2 3 1 9:9 9
3 Racing Club 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
4 Independiente 6 0 0 6 3:15 0
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevideo City 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Gremio 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
3 Deportivo Riestra 6 1 2 3 4:10 5
4 Palestino 6 0 3 3 1:6 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 Vasco 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 A. Italiano 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
4 Barracas Central 6 0 3 3 2:8 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Bragantino 6 3 1 2 12:5 10
3 Carabobo 6 3 0 3 6:5 9
4 Blooming 6 0 1 5 3:17 1
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)