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Recoleta vs Santos

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Río Parapití
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Neymar
Assist: Rollheiser B.
43'
Gonzalez J.
46'
Sub
Rios P. In: Parzajuk K.
Out: Rios P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Sudamericana matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Recoleta
39%
Draws
30%
Santos
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Recoleta have won more games recently than Santos.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Sudamericana fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 14%
Santos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recoleta Santos
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Recoleta vs Santos
1:1
Apr 15, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Santos vs Recoleta
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Recoleta Compare

Top Goalscorer Galeano F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Santos Compare

Top Goalscorer Neymar
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recoleta 31 / 100
Santos 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recoleta Santos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recoleta scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Santos has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Recoleta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Recoleta VS Santos
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Macara62406:310
2Tigre62318:59
3America De Cali62316:59
4Alianza Atl.60242:92
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG63128:610
2Cienciano62225:78
3Juventud614110:77
4Academia Puerto Cabello62136:97
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Paulo63306:112
2O Higgins63128:610
3Millonarios62227:78
4Boston River61055:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Recoleta61506:58
2Santos61418:67
3San Lorenzo61416:57
4Dep. Cuenca61323:76
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Botafogo RJ651015:516
2Caracas62319:99
3Racing Club622211:98
4Independiente60063:150
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Montevideo City641111:513
2Gremio63218:311
3Deportivo Riestra61234:105
4Palestino60331:63
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion641110:613
2Vasco631210:610
3A. Italiano62137:97
4Barracas Central60332:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1River Plate64209:314
2Bragantino631212:510
3Carabobo63036:59
4Blooming60153:171