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Recolta Gheorghe Doja vs Progresul Fundulea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Recolta Gheorghe Doja in this Liga 3 - Seria 4 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Recolta Gheorghe Doja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
15%
Draws
28%
Progresul Fundulea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Recolta Gheorghe Doja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Progresul Fundulea lately — more wins on the board than Recolta Gheorghe Doja.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Recolta Gheorghe Doja Clean Sheet 10%
Progresul Fundulea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recolta Gheorghe Doja Progresul Fundulea
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 1 1
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.83 2.28
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Recolta Gheorghe Doja vs Progresul Fundulea
2:1
May 2, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Recolta Gheorghe Doja vs Progresul Fundulea
2:6
Mar 21, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Recolta Gheorghe Doja vs Progresul Fundulea
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Progresul Fundulea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2:0
Jul 30, 2025 Romanian Cup
Progresul Fundulea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recolta Gheorghe Doja 29 / 100
Progresul Fundulea 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recolta Gheorghe Doja Progresul Fundulea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Recolta Gheorghe Doja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recolta Gheorghe Doja's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Progresul Fundulea has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Recolta Gheorghe Doja stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Recolta Gheorghe Doja VS Progresul Fundulea
2 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Recolta Gheorghe Doja

(Home)
03 Oct
Axiopolis Cernavoda
3 : 1
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
26 Sept
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2 : 1
Progresul Fundulea
23 Sept
Agricola Borcea
0 : 1
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
19 Sept
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2 : 1
Otelul 2
11 Sept
Calarasi
0 : 3
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
Page 1 of 6

Progresul Fundulea

(Away)
03 Oct
Progresul Fundulea
2 : 1
Gloria Baneasa
26 Sept
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2 : 1
Progresul Fundulea
23 Sept
Progresul Fundulea
4 : 0
Axiopolis Cernavoda
19 Sept
Unirea Branistea
4 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
12 Sept
Agricola Borcea
4 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 7 6 0 1 19:9 18
2 Agigea 7 4 2 1 11:6 14
3 Inainte Modelu 7 4 1 2 15:11 13
4 Axiopolis Cernavoda 7 4 1 2 15:12 13
5 Sporting Liesti 7 4 0 3 24:16 12
6 Progresul Fundulea 7 4 0 3 16:12 12
7 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 7 4 0 3 13:14 12
8 Calarasi 7 3 1 3 7:10 10
9 Unirea Branistea 7 3 0 4 13:12 9
10 Gloria Baneasa 7 1 1 5 5:15 4
11 Portul Constanta 7 1 0 6 11:18 3
12 Otelul 2 7 1 0 6 6:20 3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 (Relegation Group)