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Red Arrows vs Kabwe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Red Arrows host Kabwe in the Super League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Kabwe have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Red Arrows have conceded 0.46 and scored 1.41. Head-to-head, Red Arrows have won 3 to Kabwe's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 17, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.04 - 0.48) back Red Arrows to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Red Arrows
30%
Draws
19%
Kabwe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Red Arrows

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Red Arrows come out ahead of Kabwe on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Red Arrows Clean Sheet 20%
Kabwe Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Arrows Kabwe
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 23 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.46 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Super League
Red Arrows vs Kabwe
0:0
Apr 12, 2026 Super League
Red Arrows vs Kabwe
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Super League
Kabwe vs Red Arrows
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Super League
Red Arrows vs Kabwe
1:1
Oct 30, 2024 Super League
Kabwe vs Red Arrows
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Arrows 31 / 100
Kabwe 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Arrows Kabwe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Arrows Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Red Arrows remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Red Arrows found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (37 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Kabwe conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Red Arrows VS Kabwe
1.38 Goals Scored 0.71
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.71
50% Over 1.5 43%
13% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Red Arrows

(Home)
17 Oct
Red Arrows
1 : 0
Kaizer Chiefs
10 Oct
Red Arrows
0 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
04 Oct
Mutondo Stars
1 : 3
Red Arrows
20 Sept
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Red Arrows
13 Sept
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra
0 : 2
Red Arrows
Page 1 of 8

Kabwe

(Away)
10 Oct
Kabwe
3 : 2
Mutondo Stars
03 Oct
Kabwe
1 : 1
Zesco
24 May
Muza Fc
2 : 1
Kabwe
20 May
Kabwe
0 : 0
Zanaco
16 May
Kabwe
0 : 1
Zesco
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nkana 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Muza Fc 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Konkola Blades 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
4 Power Dynamos 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
5 Zanaco 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
6 Kansanshi 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
7 NAPSA Stars 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
8 Trident 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
9 Makeni All Stars 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
10 Nchanga Rangers 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Green Eagles 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Green Buffaloes FC 3 1 2 0 2:0 5
3 Red Arrows 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Kabwe 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
5 Chirundu United 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
6 Roan United 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
7 Zesco 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
8 Nkwazi 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
9 Mufulira Wanderers 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
10 Mutondo Stars 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)