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Red Arrows vs Kabwe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Red Arrows in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Red Arrows.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Red Arrows
35%
Draws
12%
Kabwe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Red Arrows

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Red Arrows have won more games recently than Kabwe.
  • Model gives Red Arrows a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Red Arrows have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Red Arrows Clean Sheet 68%
Kabwe Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Arrows Kabwe
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.33 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.47 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Super League
Red Arrows vs Kabwe
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Super League
Kabwe vs Red Arrows
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Super League
Red Arrows vs Kabwe
1:1
Oct 30, 2024 Super League
Kabwe vs Red Arrows
0:2
Aug 10, 2024 Super Cup
Red Arrows vs Kabwe
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Arrows 95 / 100
Kabwe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Arrows Kabwe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Arrows Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Red Arrows stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Red Arrows found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Kabwe let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Red Arrows VS Kabwe
1.13 Goals Scored 0.43
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.71
50% Over 1.5 43%
13% Over 2.5 14%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Red Arrows

(Home)
04 Oct
Mutondo Stars
1 : 3
Red Arrows
20 Sept
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Red Arrows
13 Sept
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra
0 : 2
Red Arrows
05 Sept
Red Arrows
2 : 0
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra
22 Aug
Zesco
0 : 0
Red Arrows
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Kabwe

(Away)
03 Oct
Kabwe
1 : 1
Zesco
24 May
Muza Fc
2 : 1
Kabwe
20 May
Kabwe
0 : 0
Zanaco
16 May
Kabwe
0 : 1
Zesco
08 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 1
Kabwe
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